I haven’t given much thought to a Bernie Sanders presidency.
Until recently, Bernie hasn’t been the frontrunner for the Democratic nomination. It seemed more likely that Trump would face off against Joe Biden or Elizabeth Warren.
We’re still a long way out from the 2020 election and I don’t plan to sit down and seriously start to think through the implications of a President Bernie Sanders until after Super Tuesday in March. The Democrats will throw the kitchen sink at Bernie to stop his campaign and have already rigged the Iowa Caucus so it is best to see what happens over the next month.
I’ve always been an Independent populist swing voter. I am not a Republican or a mainstream conservative. In Trump’s Chumps, I noted that Donald Trump had sucked all the energy out of the Alt-Right and that normies and mainstream conservatives are complacent whenever a Republican occupies the White House. 95% of Republicans approve of Donald Trump’s job performance. Life is good for them. They are winning on all the issues. These dopes are in the mental universe of the Great American Comeback. They Trust the Plan. They want to Keep America Great.
Donald Trump has been a tranquilizer for the Right and a national emergency for the Left. The same was true of George W. Bush. No one knows this better than the grizzled veterans of organized rightwing dissident groups. Interest boomed when Bill Clinton was president. The George W. Bush presidency after 9/11 was a major bust. Interest boomed again when Obama was president. Donald Trump has been a major bust. There is a cycle of partisanship and polarization and worse is better for the Dissident Right whenever we have a Democrat in the White House. While there is no substantial difference in either deportations or the number of legal and illegal immigrants who have entered the United States under Barack Obama’s second term and Donald Trump’s first term, the perception of the problem on the Right ranges from apocalyptic to glorious winning based solely upon which donor-controlled party is in power in Washington.
Here is the last 20 years of our lives worrying about illegal immigration:
Donald Trump has been “strong on the border.”
George W. Bush built hundreds of miles of this fence in his last two years in office. He got the GOP Congress to vote for it. Donald Trump hasn’t even done that much as president. The GOP Congress refused to do anything about the problem when it had a majority. Instead, it preferred to spend Trump’s political capital on Paul Ryan’s unpopular tax cut and health care agenda.
In reality, illegal immigration has gone up again over the course of the Trump presidency. It more than doubled last year. It peaked last May a month after Kirstjen Nielsen was fired at DHS. It has since swooped down to 40,620 border apprehensions in December which is about where it was when Donald Trump was railing about illegal immigration in 2015 and 2016. These numbers were a disaster back then. Now, simply getting back from the collapse of the border to those same numbers that Trump ran against in 2016 is the Great American Comeback story.
If the Bernie Sanders Political Revolution triumphed in November, the Boomers would go to sleep one day under KAG and wake up the next morning under “communism.” It is safe to say that it would have an enormous psychological impact on them. There would be a major shift in perception of immigration and the state of America. There would be a far greater shift in their perception of the crisis than our own. How would Wall Street digest President Bernie Sanders? Does the “billionaire class” panic and start pulling their money out of the United States?
Just the thought that Bernie might transform the United States into Cuba or Venezuela would have a far greater impact on the stability of the neoliberal order than having Donald Trump as president who is a Twitter personality who supports tax cuts, deregulation and free trade. Immigration plummeted after the crash of 2008 even after the Wall Street bailout. Both parties secretly support open borders and the annual influx of illegal aliens depends more on the state of the U.S. economy than any other factor. Bernie Sanders will chill the “growth” of the U.S. economy.
What do you think? What is the more effective barrier to immigration? Is it the three new miles of Trump’s pathetic fence, OR, socialism? I don’t really know. I will need to think more deeply about the issue. Maybe dealing with the Chamber of Commerce-types who control states like Texas and turning off the job magnets here is the more effective solution.