Senate Passes Big Beautiful Bill

July 1, 2025 Hunter Wallace Conservatism, Healthcare, Immigration, Politics, Populists, Progressives, Taxes 16

It should be called the Big Beautiful Political Disaster.

Yes, I know we should be celebrating the Republican Senate passing this bill as a win which will fund all kinds of immigration priorities, but it comes at the steep cost of being politically toxic due to making business tax cuts permanent and cutting popular entitlement programs like Medicaid. It is like a birthday cake that tastes delicious on some level, but which is ultimately poisonous.

Politico:

“It was the exact opposite of what nearly everyone on Capitol Hill expected.

Rather than soften its edges, Senate Republicans took the sprawling Republican megabill the House sent them and sharpened it further, making the heart of President Donald Trump’s legislative agenda more politically explosive. …

This time, Senate Republicans were dead-set on making an expensive suite of pro-growth business tax cuts permanent. That required finding deep offsetting cuts, and the cold, hard calculus by the Senate GOP’s chief architects was that enough of their 53-member conference would ultimately swallow their protests and go along. …

To compensate, Finance Committee Republicans significantly dialed back some of Trump’s marquee campaign promises to enact tax relief for tipped wages and overtime work. Many of those senators privately scoffed that the populist tax policies were not particularly pro-growth, as opposed to the write-offs for business equipment and research and development expenses. …”

As usual, the immigration provisions for Trump voters are a small part of the “Big Beautiful Bill,” which is otherwise a glorified Omnibus of unpopular tax cuts and entitlement cuts.

CBS News:

“Washington — Republicans plan to slash Medicaid funding to help offset the tax cuts and new spending included in President Trump’s massive domestic policy bill. There are some differences between the approaches taken by Senate and House Republicans, making Medicaid among the most divisive issues lawmakers have had to navigate in recent months. …

About 71 million Americans are enrolled in Medicaid, according to the government’s most recent data. According to a Congressional Budget Office report published late Saturday, the changes to Medicaid and the Affordable Care Act in the Senate version would result in an increase of nearly 12 million more uninsured people by 2034. 

The House-passed version would leave slightly fewer without health insurance — nearly 11 million — by 2034, mostly due to cuts to Medicaid and the Affordable Care Act, the CBO estimated earlier in June.  

The Senate version makes $930 billion in cuts over a decade to Medicaid, Medicare and the Affordable Care Act, according to the CBO. The House-passed bill includes nearly $800 billion in cuts …”

I think it will end up passing in some form.

I don’t know if the Republican House has the votes to swallow the Senate bill.

I predict the Big Beautiful Disaster will play out like the 2018 midterms when budget reconciliation was used to pass the Trump tax cuts in 2017. From that point forward, the Democrats ran on “tax cuts for the rich” and defined the midterms as being as a referendum on healthcare and won. Democrats are already succeeding in branding the Big Beautiful Disaster as a Medicaid bill, not an immigration bill.

Note: I wish I could say that I am surprised, but Senate Republicans never learn anything from experience. These are the same people who were all over television last week panicking elderly people watching FOX News about Iran being “two weeks away” from nuking New York City.

16 Comments

  2. Sheet, I wouldn’t mind if Iran or anybody wanted to nuke jew york city. Just give me and mine a few days notice ?

    Reply

  3. Just who exactly are these 70 million on Medicaid though? What is the breakdown between people who honestly need it? And welfare queens or some dude in his thirties who smokes weed 24/7? Are there a lot of scammers on it? I remember when they made all these people go in person to the SS office to verify who they were it showed all these able bodied young guys in their thirties and forties standing around? Not the old, cotton ball hairdo old ladies you’d expect? Is medicaid mostly yet another free ride for blacks?

    Reply

    • Many of them are the low propensity young male voters who were decisive in Trump winning the 2024 election. The GOP wants to kick them off their health insurance. It is a colossal political mistake

      Reply

      • “Many of them are the low propensity young male voters who were decisive in Trump winning the 2024 election. The GOP wants to kick them off their health insurance. It is a colossal political mistake”

        Agreed! Its a Yuge mistake. Basically, Democrats refused to cut off giving their pet illegals and foreigners our tax dollars. In exchange we had to reduce all of our benefits to help the wetbacks.

        The GOP went for it for two reasons. Giving benefits to illegals and foreigners helps draw in more cheap labor they don’t have to provide benefits for and gives them further leverage in extracting reducing corporate benefits to American workers. Lastly, it helps make Medicare and Medicaid insolvent and they’d love to see it go so they don’t have to pay taxes anymore.

        It should be noted that the Senate Parliamentarian said the benefits couldn’t be cut without going to a vote which would allow a  filibuster. This reduced MAGA GOP Congressmen’s ability to get cutting the illegals out in the budget. So, we have the proverbial camel’s nose that went thru the tent a generation and more ago. Now it’s onside the tent and shatting all over the place. To get it out will require a huge fight. Thank you boomers!

        Reply

    • Is medicaid mostly yet another free ride for blacks?

      Largely.

      They certainly abuse it the most, along with Jewish doctors who send out ‘recruiters’ and pay welfare queens to visit their clinics. All this while poor WHITES go without essential medical care because of costs, often with fatal consequences.

      Reply

      • Where are all these “Jewish Doctors” anymore? I’d feel a lot more comfortable getting checked out by a “Dr. Stein” than the usual Indian or Pakistani doctor with questionable credentials that seems all you get these days. Don’t Jewish Boys go to medical school anymore? I don’t know where you live but it seems the stereotype of “Jewish Doctors” has passed its expiration date.

        Reply

        • > Don’t Jewish Boys go to medical school anymore?

          Not as much. Going to med school requires actual study, and there is hard work before the MD is awarded – even with med school faculties overloaded with fellow chosenites. Apart from those employed as administrators by insurance rackets, most doctors have to put in long hard days. Why go that route when you can get a cushy job in your cousin Schmuley’s hedge fund and start off raking in 300K per year after you’re awarded a Haaavahd degree in Holocaust studies?

          Reply

    • They are young, White males. We see them on corners now.. Just wait. Blacks will take their families in their homes. They only use nursing homes when there are no other options. We generally can’t stand each other. Rugged individualist Whites are in for a FAFO moment.

      Reply

    • the for profit medical system is rotten to the core. everyone needs to be on medicaid–the idea was it would be expanded and regulated, that was the Marxist perspective. However, this is not the 20th Century. No one, except for immigrants and pregnant single women, can qualify for medicaid. You have to have less than 1000 dollars in the bank, with a car no more than few thousand dollars in value. It’s preposterous. It’s just funding demographic replacement at this point.

      Reply

  5. Another decade another communist Mediscare. And Hunter right in with them. The Communist Party (Dems) used to run a Mediscare every 2 years. Didn’ do anything for them. Nigras and invaders already vote Communist.

    In Virginia the Republicans ran a reverse Mediscare in ’97. They went on the Jew Box and radio, everywhere really, accusing the Dems of taking away Medicare. It was great. A lot of the parasites believed the lies and the Republicans won big. Stephen Miller should try that next year.

    Reply

  6. @Hunter Wallace,

    “Many of them are the low propensity young male voters who were decisive in Trump winning the 2024 election. The GOP wants to kick them off their health insurance. It is a colossal political mistake”

    Agreed! Its a Yuge mistake. Basically, Democrats refused to cut off giving their pet illegals and foreigners our tax dollars. In exchange we had to reduce all of our benefits to help the wetbacks.

    The GOP went for it for two reasons. Giving benefits to illegals and foreigners helps draw in more cheap labor they don’t have to provide benefits for and gives them further leverage in extracting reducing corporate benefits to American workers. Lastly, it helps make Medicare and Medicaid insolvent and they’d love to see it go so they don’t have to pay taxes anymore.

    It should be noted that the Senate Parliamentarian said the benefits couldn’t be cut without going to a vote which would allow a  filibuster. This reduced MAGA GOP Congressmen’s ability to get cutting the illegals out in the budget. So, we have the proverbial camel’s nose that went thru the tent a generation and more ago. Now it’s onside the tent and shatting all over the place. To get it out will require a huge fight. Thank you boomers!

    Reply

  7. It’s now passed, and Massie even voted for it at the last minute. Not that it will help him with the Moishe Trumpstein and the Kosher Nosetra.

    Reply

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