Poll Watch: Thomas Massie Edges Ed Gallrein

NEW: Quantus Insights Kentucky CD-4 Republican Primary Poll | April 9, 2026

? Republican Primary Ballot
? Thomas Massie: 46.8%
? Ed Gallrein: 37.7%
?? Undecided: 14%
––––––––––––––––––
? Candidate Image: Thomas Massie
? Favorable: 51.4%
? Unfavorable: 46.4%
?? Not enough… pic.twitter.com/APiqBUnvlx

— Quantus Insights (@QuantusInsights) April 9, 2026

A little perspective on the Kentucky CD4 race.

Trump has clearly turned KY-4 into a nationalized primary. His endorsement of Ed Gallrein, plus the money and attacks coming at Thomas Massie, have made this a much more serious contest than a typical incumbent primary.

That…

— Quantus Insights (@QuantusInsights) April 9, 2026

?KY-04 GOP PRIMARY (with leans)

? Thomas Massie: 52.4% (+4.8)
? Ed Gallrein: 47.6%

By age:

• Age 18-29: Massie +57
• Age 30-44: Massie +30
• Age 45-64: Massie +6
• Age 65+: Gallrein +30@BIGDATAPOLL | 4/3-7 | 433 LV pic.twitter.com/arezfgJPnz

— Election Wizard (@ElectionWiz) April 9, 2026

Incumbent @RepThomasMassie Leads Challenger @EdGallrein in Republican Primary for Kentucky House District 4

Age & Region Define the Race

18-29: Massie +57.0
30-44: Massie +29.8
45-64: Massie +6.6 (Critical)
65+: Gallrein +30

C/O crosstab on GOP ID.https://t.co/vCNylkkW5y

— BIG DATA POLL (@BIGDATAPOLL) April 9, 2026

The Thomas Massie vs. Ed Gallrein race in Kentucky appears to be turning into a referendum on Trump, MIGA, Standing With Israel and the future of the Republican Party.

Note: The recent Pew poll also found a very similar age divide among Republicans on Israel.