Climate change is a deeply polarizing issue.
I became much more interested in the issue earlier this year after I began digging into the polling data on the divisions on issue priorities within the Democratic coalition.
Take this poll which came out yesterday. It confirmed what I suspected which is that the blacks do not care about climate change. Whites and Hispanics have about the same level of interest in the issue. Whites are also extremely polarized though on the relative importance of climate change.
Check out these numbers which helpfully break down the Democratic and Republican coalitions into distinct clusters of voters and which probes their views on climate change and environmental laws. I couldn’t find another issue which 1.) more deeply polarizes shitlibs and conservatives, 2.) which activates populists and 3.) divides the Democratic coalition between DILEs and DLWCs.
The Voter Study Group found a major difference between DILE and DLWC voters on climate change. The environment and climate change are the top two issues of DILEs while ranking ninth and twelfth for DLWCs. In contrast, DLWCs are much more motivated by jobs, entitlements and the economy.
A few months ago, this survey came out of Trump vs. Biden voter issues priorities. It found that climate change was the top issue of Biden voters. The environment was the fourth most important issue.
Here are some interesting numbers from the latest Pew Research Center survey. Climate change is a top concern for 31% of adults and 49% of Democrats, i.e., the DILEs.
If you ask ordinary people a loaded question like whether or not they want future generations to live on a sustainable planet, they will say yes.
Democrats are split down the middle, however, on phasing out fossil fuels:
A little over half of Democrats think that Joe Biden won’t go far enough on climate change which makes sense given that it is the top priority of the professional class:
What do you think about the idea of phasing out gas powered cars? It turns out a third of Democrats think that is a bad idea. Those people are working class Democrats.
Unfortunately, we don’t have any polling data among Democrat and Independent voters on their willingness to give up meat eating and switch to a vegetarian diet to save the planet with Greta. It seems likely that there would be much more resistance to that idea than giving up gas powered automobiles or an electric grid that depends on fossil fuels both of which are necessary to achieve Joe Biden’s climate goals. How does Joe Biden achieve his climate objectives with this level of resistance?