Obama’s White Support Is Too Low To Win, But Romney Is Unable To Connect


If Romney wins in November, it will be because White working class voters are desperate and have nowhere else to go:

“President Obama does not currently have enough white support to win re-election even if he retains his minority base from 2008. At the same time, electoral data indicates Mitt Romney has not yet attracted enough of these white voters to capitalize on Obama’s weakness.

Pundits often note that Romney cannot win with his current level of Hispanic support. That’s likely true. But so is the converse: Obama cannot win with his level of white support unless white swing voters withhold their votes from Romney as well.”…

Only 37 or 38 percent of whites back Obama today, according to the Gallup Poll’s authoritative weekly averages since early April. The rub for Romney? In those same matchups, Romney only wins 54 percent of whites. Other surveys show the same. CNN’s latest pegged the white margin at 53-39. FOX News’ latest, 51-35. Ipsos-Reuters, 53-38.

So Obama is below his floor with whites. But so is Romney. Obama has too few whites saying yea to a second term. And Romney has converted too few nays to his side. Notably, the same share of whites say they will vote for Obama as approve of his job performance.”

The Republicans have done nothing to earn another Reaganesque turnout of the White working class vote.

This will continue until demoralization inevitably sets in again like it did in 2008. One day even 64 percent Reaganesque landslides won’t suffice to put a Republican in the White House.

Thinking people already see this. The herd will catch up sooner or later. It took thirty years for it to happen last time.

Update: After spending years cheerleading for “comprehensive immigration reform,” McCain only got 31 percent of the Hispanic vote. Bush got 58 percent of the White vote in 2004.

Note: Romney is trailing Obama in the polls because he can’t even match Bush Sr. (59 percent) or John McCain (55 percent) with White voters.

Drudge is cheerleading a Rasmussen poll that has Obama is down to 35 percent with Whites. What he doesn’t say is that Romney is running BEHIND McCain with the same White voters.

Romney has flopped with the White electorate: he is dead in the water at 53 percent. He is a weak Northeastern Yankee candidate who provoked more opposition from the conservative base than any presidential candidate in recent memory.

This creates an opportunity for Virgil Goode to grab the 5 percent to 10 percent of disaffected conservatives in Virginia, North Carolina, and Florida necessary to sink Romney in November.

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  1. Mantra in other words: Outlaw conservatives constantly hijack his campaign, and later, uncover his administration.

  2. That’s an interesting take. But if we know from the outset that Romney will destroy the country further, why not let Obama do it?

    We know the fence sitters on the right WILL embrace and defend Romney if he is the President. It’s better for them and for us if they instead spend their time constructing their psychological separation.

  3. Joe Walker says:
    June 23, 2012 at 2:47 am
    White Jews are genetically distinct but no more a “race” than Icelanders or other white endogamous groups

    Jews are of Middle Eastern ancestry while Icelanders are of Scandinavian-Celtic background. If you believe that Jews are white then you must also believe that Arabs are white.”

    A-bloody-men -the Nth Power.

    Jews are JEWS. Not White.

  4. How many of you bitching about the GOP have EVER read the riot act to you local and National GOP factotums, re” being Pro White?


    I hear crickets.

    Try it.

    The sound, on the other side of the phone….the pauses..the gasps….though wimpazoid outrage…..the curiosity…

    Issuing Pro White instrucitons, in person, is even more fun. Believe me.

    It’s fascinating.

    So shut the eff up, all of you, until you DO. Especially RRS.

    You can start out nice, polite, and well-modulated – but then go all out “Celt” shall we say, if you get a shred of pushback at all. One teensy little hint of objection – and unleash HELL.

  5. Would the border issue qualify as a white interest? How about millions of people yelling for 20 years, entire neighborhoods and cities displaced, billions of dollars wasted?

    One thing is certain: The Party Line has weathered the worst of its malcontents and remains unscathed.

  6. The malcontents of today can’t touch the fortitude of the malcontents of yesteryear. The Party Line marches forward. We die. Others take our place. Maybe it’s time to forget about the Party Line and focus on your own line.

  7. Denise: Great post! I “share” my views loud and clear every chance I get. With few exceptions I find people agreeing with me.

    Tamer of Savages: Jews are only white when they are volunteering the white race for permanent minority status, then when it gets too hot they magically become a separate and distinct race…a minority.

  8. I have to shake my head in bemusement over Mittens pusillaminous pandering to an organization who has baldly stated that any one who opposes Obama is either an anti-black racist or a black race traitor.

    I can’t see a White Republican candidate yelling, “white power,” at his own speeches, but why not have a “CENSORED the blacks; they won’t vote or me anyway” attitude. Any and every non-White out there has already made up their mind. The ONLY undecideds out there are the Whites.

    In the last presidential run-up, Hillary Clinton unfortunately realized that fact waaay too late for her to easily get rid of Obama, but she was building momentum and could have won. Especially in view of the milquetoast excuse for a candidate the Repugnants delivered with John McInane.

  9. McCain was Mr. Amnesty, with zero nuance, held the American people in contempt, and did everything the media says a republican candidate should do – surprisingly enough it got him nothing.

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