Here are the latest numbers:
The South: 4/5
MS: 1,638 cases, 43 deaths
AL: 1,841 cases, 45 deaths
SC: 2,049 cases, 44 deaths
GA: 6,742 cases, 219 deaths
TX: 7,045 cases, 133 deaths
FL: 12,350 cases, 221 deaths
LA: 13,010 cases, 477 deaths
AR: 837 cases, 16 deaths
KY: 955 cases, 45 deaths
OK: 1,252 cases, 46 deaths
WV: 324 cases, 3 deaths
VA: 2,637 cases, 52 deaths
MO: 2,367 cases, 49 deaths
NC: 2,663 cases, 38 deaths
TN: 3,633 cases, 44 deaths
U.S. cases:
3/1: 89
3/8: 564
3/9: 728
3/10: 1,000
3/11: 1,267
3/12: 1,645
3/13: 2,204
3/14: 2,826
3/15: 3,505
3/16: 4,466
3/17: 6,135
3/18: 8,760
3/19: 13,159
3/20: 18,563
3/21: 26,138
3/22: 33,276
3/23: 46,371
3/24: 55,041
3/25: 68,203
3/26: 85,873
3/27: 104,671
3/28: 123,578
3/29: 142,070
3/30: 164,248
3/31: 188,530
4/1: 215,003
4/2: 244,877
4/3: 277,161
4/4: 311,357
4/5: 336,673 <— YOU ARE HERE
U.S. deaths per day:
2/29: 1
3/2: 5
3/3: 3
3/4: 2
3/5: 1
3/6: 3
3/7: 4
3/8: 3
3/9: 4
3/10: 4
3/11: 8
3/12: 3
3/13: 8
3/14: 8
3/15: 11
3/16: 18
3/17: 23
3/18: 41
3/19: 57
3/20: 49
3/21: 46
3/22: 111
3/23: 140
3/24: 225
3/25: 247
3/26: 268
3/27: 411
3/28: 525
3/29: 363
3/30: 573
3/31: 912
4/1: 1,049
4/2: 968
4/3: 1,321
4/4: 1,331
4/5: 1,165 <— YOU ARE HERE
TOTAL: 9,616 dead
Texas literally shuttered for 22 deaths* against a back drop of > 520 death per day average.
https://www.dshs.texas.gov/chs/vstat/vs15/t01.aspx
* and all of these attributions must be suspect and tentative in this panic enviroment
So tomorrow we hit five-digit total deaths. Exponential curve is still taking a while to develop. Perhaps if we stay at a comfortable ~1000 ish deaths per day over the next week, Trump will consider it good enough and have things back to normal on Easter.
I thought our shutter everything strategy was a bit draconian but looking at the numbers yesterday the R0 is not dropping, it’s still following an exponential function, not good. If it continues to double every 3.5-5 days by the end of the month we will be screwed. That being said, today’s number is just one data point but the first sign it may be softening. Whatever happens over the next month will be critical
The numbers of new cases has dropped, but that could be due to a shortfall in testing. I know Georgia is doing significantly fewer tests. I am not sure why. Maybe they are running out
It’s just too early, to reach any solid.conclusions.
Everything about this pandemic has to be held provisionally.
“Official Counts Understate the U.S. Coronavirus Death Toll”
“Lina Evans, the coroner in Shelby County, Ala., said she is now suspicious about a surge in deaths in her county earlier this year, many of which involved severe pneumonias.Credit…”
NYT
Excellent point, Arian. Miss Linda Evans ‘s comments are indicative of a reality that already scores, perhaps, hundreds of people were dying in January, in this country, and it simply was not being reported.