Those who shared deliberate disinformation about ghost pilots did a disservice to Ukraine. I bet average person following conflict thinks Russia already lost or is about to lose. And America moved on to next ? to chase. https://t.co/QeRzc4Bo71— Cernovich (@Cernovich) March 3, 2022
If confirmed that was indeed scuttled (I don’t see bomb damage), this means the Ukrainians believe that Mykolaiv is in danger of falling. The only reason to scuttle a frigate in port is to prevent it from falling into Russian hands. h/t @cdrsalamander https://t.co/XDD8jcUmLj— Bill Roggio (@billroggio) March 3, 2022
In seven days, the denied Ukraine all of its costal areas on the Sea of Azov, and about half of the Black Sea. That is solid progress for 7 days of war, by any standard.— Bill Roggio (@billroggio) March 3, 2022
I don’t like reading @FDD @billroggio on this because it’s depressing. But, as he so accurately tracked the collapse of Afghan forces to the Taliban ahead of anyone, Bill is giving us a sober look at Russian advances and Ukrainian defeats. https://t.co/KZPGQ0rjVL— Mark Dubowitz (@mdubowitz) March 2, 2022
SITREP – Day 8: Most analysts think the odds of a ceasefire are increasing in Ukraine.— Clint Ehrlich (@ClintEhrlich) March 3, 2022
They have it exactly backwards.
We've actually moved closer to the nightmare scenario where Kiev is simply leveled. ?
The Russian military is still in a strategic position to win the war.— Clint Ehrlich (@ClintEhrlich) March 3, 2022
They've already surrounded Azov Battalion at Mariupol, and they're on their way to encircling Ukraine's forces in the Donbas.
If this were a strategy game, you'd *really* want to play as Russia. pic.twitter.com/Qgw5JmeEml
This article is from the guy who tracked the rapid fall of Afghanistan.
“Wishful thinking has the upper hand in the battle to shape Western perceptions of the war in Ukraine.
Sympathy for the outnumbered and outgunned defenders of Kyiv has led to the exaggeration of Russian setbacks, misunderstanding of Russian strategy, and even baseless claims from amateur psychoanalysts that Putin has lost his mind.
A more sober analysis shows that Russia may have sought a knockout blow, but always had well-laid plans for follow-on assaults if its initial moves proved insufficient.
The world has underestimated Putin before and those mistakes have led, in part, to this tragedy in Ukraine.
We must be clear-eyed now that the war is underway.
Yet even the professionals at the Pentagon are letting sympathy cloud their judgement.
Just two days into Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, U.S. Department of Defense briefers were quick to claim that failing to take Kyiv in the opening days of the war amounted to a serious setback.
DoD briefers implied that Russia’s offensive was well behind schedule or had even failed because the capital had not fallen.
But U.S. leaders should have learned to restrain their hopes after their catastrophic withdrawal from Afghanistan.
Once again, U.S. and Western officials are falling into the trap of failing to understand the enemy and his objectives. …”
You might not grasp this based on CNN and Twitter’s coverage of the war.