I would draw a distinction between White Nationalism and White Populism. The former is centered on the idea of creating a White ethnostate. The latter is a much broader group of disaffected White working class and White middle class Americans who feel under siege for being White, who have nativist politics and who are getting more defensive and anxious about their place in America. These are the people who Charles Murray is worried about embracing White identity politics.
I’ve been watching these two groups for several years now. Around the time of Charlottesville, the “Alt-Right” or “White Nationalists” were around 5% to 10% of the American population and larger percentage of the White population. In spite of the fallout from that event, this baseline number hasn’t changed in recent years. The number of people who identified as “Alt-Right” or “White Nationalists” didn’t change. Support for Confederate monuments in Virginia remained unchanged. Donald Trump’s approval rating at the time didn’t really change either. He was already losing momentum in the polls due to Ryancare. The corporate media coverage of the event dramatically overstated the impact of Charlottesville. The country was deeply polarized in 2017 and has only became much more polarized in 2021.
There was a recent poll in Oregon which illustrated this dynamic and how “the movement” has changed since 2017. 11% of Oregonians now say that they support White Nationalism which is sharply up from 6% in previous surveys. Meanwhile, 39% of Oregonians believe that “White people in America face unfair discrimination and unfair treatment because of their race” and 41% believe “America must protect and preserve its White European heritage.” So, you have two groups of people who can be classified as pro-White in Oregon with White Nationalists being around 11% and the broader group of potential sympathizers being around 40%. This is also in one of the most shitlib parts of the country. In the 2020 election, Donald Trump won 40.37% of the vote in Oregon. The poll showed that the people who are most sympathetic to White Nationalism lived outside of Portland and the Willamette Valley.
I can point you to other recent polls. The shocking YouGov poll which came out in January showed that 87% of Trump voters were concerned about the growth of anti-White discrimination and that 80% rejected White privilege theory. The same poll found that 64% of Trump voters believe that their race or ethnicity is extremely, very or some what important to their identity while only 17% said it was not at all important. 76% of Trump voters perceive Antifa as an extremely high threat compared to 18% who said the same about White Nationalists. 30% of Trump voters said in that poll that White Nationalists weren’t a threat at all. Democratic pollster Stanley Greenberg has also found in recent surveys that Trump voters are incensed and anxious about anti-whiteness and cancel culture.
The Republican Party is currently split 85/15 between Trump supporters and Never Trumpers. The issue that divides them is social liberalism. The Never Trumpers are the suburban moderates who have cosmopolitan, modernist and antiracist values. The GOP establishment wing has shrunk inside the party into a disaffected rump. The other 85% of the party are reacting against America’s anti-Christian culture and the growth of anti-whiteness. White Populism is now utterly dominant inside the base of the Republican Party and the trend has dramatically accelerated since the George Floyd riots which has hardened racial attitudes among White working class and White middle class voters.
Since Donald Trump lost the 2020 election (to use a geological metaphor), we have seen an expansion of both the core (support for explicit White Nationalism) and the mantle (support for White Populism where White racial consciousness is regenerating) and the crust (surface level expressions of this like the sudden rebellion against CRT, the term “anti-white” suddenly becoming mainstream, talk of demographic replacement, etc.). This is why you are seeing such a hysterical reaction by the Biden administration because the growth of White identity politics is a runaway train now inside the Republican base.
It is true that censorship and deplatforming has taken a huge toll on the Alt-Right. The social media platforms are so heavily censored now one might log into Twitter and come away with the impression that all of those people who made so much noise during the 2016 election have disappeared. They haven’t disappeared though. This is just an illusion created by censorship. Underneath the placid surface that our elites have created from themselves once they started receiving negative feedback, the trend has only continued to gain momentum. The same is true of the uniformity of the corporate media. It caters to the professional class. It doesn’t represent the views of large swathes of the country which is why we are in the midst of an explosion of populism. The last four years have been terrible for organizations, which can be sued and disrupted, and social media entrepreneurs who rely on social media platforms and payment processors to spread their message and fund their work. It is much harder for people like us to network and raise money, but what we represent is unquestionably still gaining traction.
This is why we are currently in such a weird moment. You have lots of people who were big names in the Alt-Right and who were very active a few years ago who have either gone silent or have become demoralized. At the same time, you have normies who are angry enough to storm the Capitol because their “redpilling” began like a year or two ago. You can also turn on FOX News and see content which would have been unthinkable a year ago and which sounds remarkably close to our messaging. The gap between the “mainstream Right” and the “Dissident Right” has dramatically narrowed simply because the Republican base is on fire with Joe Biden in the White House berating them for their systematic racism and “white supremacy.” The same thing happened under Obama to a lesser degree.
The definition of “racism” itself was changed last year. The Left officially abandoned liberalism and colorblindness in favor of woke progressivism. It is now a self-evident truth in the Democratic Party that all White people are born racists and guilty of racism and suffer from White privilege and White fragility and that the system itself is also racist. It must be torn down root and branch because there is nothing good about this evil country. Individual intent doesn’t matter because we are all “racists” no matter what we do or how hard we try. Robin DiAngelo says that White progressives are the worst racists of all. It was in that moment during the chaos last June that it dawned on me that we would ultimately prevail. There is simply no space anymore for any “respectable” conservative opposition to woke progressivism that isn’t “racist” by definition. Joe Biden recently said that Georgia has become a “Jim Eagle” state.
I’ve never been more active than I have been in 2021. I’m confident and optimistic. It doesn’t matter that we are being censored on Twitter which is a glorified chat room. Most people in this country aren’t even on Twitter. The draconian censorship is a symptom of utter desperation. “The movement” is poorly funded and “post-organizational” and censored and the target of state repression, but is triumphing nevertheless. It is not due to what I am saying on this website. It is has much more to do with what Joe Biden is saying and CNN and MSNBC are saying on television. The Left is now explicitly anti-White. If the frog was once slow boiling in a pot in the 2000s and 2010s, it is now boiling over in the 2020s.
In light of all this, I see it as our job to create a message which resonates and gains traction with this huge and growing group of racially anxious Whites. Obviously, these people aren’t as radical as us, but they are warming up and moving in our direction. The likes of Robin DiAngelo and Ibram X. Kendi have only done us a favor. It is easier than ever before to reach these people because anti-whiteness is everywhere these days and because we share the same enemies and have similar values and interests while the “journalists” who suffer from “trauma” and the so-called “watchdog organizations” have less credibility than ever before.
There are other encouraging trends going on as well. Donald Trump isn’t around to divide and demoralize us anymore. The accelerationist mass shooters seem to have disappeared on their own. Some of the most toxic people from the Alt-Right years (i.e., MILO and Andrew Anglin) have lost influence. Everything that could possibly go wrong under Joe Biden appears to be going wrong (crime, immigration, political correctness, inflation, etc.) which is setting the stage for the next big upswing.
Maybe I am cautiously optimistic before the FBI busts down my door and hauls me to the gulag for “hate speech,” but I am encouraged by trends and underlying fundamentals.