The Democratic Racial Divide

Politico Magazine has a great article this morning which explains why the Sanders’ political revolution isn’t the future of the Democratic Party:

“Donald Trump is on the verge of locking in a racial deficit within the Republican Party that GOP officials won’t overcome for at least a generation, as he systematically alienates Latinos, African-Americans and anyone worried about the powerful undercurrent of white anger on display at his rallies.

But as his racial gaffes have claimed the spotlight, far less appreciated is what has been happening in the opposing party. Democrats face their own racial split that could haunt the party well into the future if it isn’t handled properly now.

Though it might offend his uber-progressive supporters to hear this, the Sanders insurgency is largely a white revolution. All the talk about Sanders representing the future of the Democratic Party because of his overwhelming popularity among young people leaves out an important caveat: He couldn’t persuade minority voters to sign on. …

Nate Silver at has shown that Clinton’s victories look much more like the Democratic Party—which, with a projected 54 percent white vote this year, will be majority-minority long before the country is—than do Sanders’ wins. Even in Sanders’ upset in Michigan, pundits were claiming he had made a breakthrough with black voters because he lost them only by 35 percent points. And exit polling data in Nevada that showed him edging Clinton among Hispanics is widely suspected to be wrong, given where Clinton racked up votes in that state.”

Basically, the national Democratic Party is approaching the same racial tipping point it has already reached in the Deep South: only 54 percent of Democratic voters are White. Because the black population is voting 9 to 1 for its preferred candidate and is now a majority of the Democratic electorate in so many Southern states, it can now effectively determine who wins the Democratic nomination.

Cis-het, non-Jewish White males are now a junior partner in the Democratic coalition. Regardless of their racial and ideological views, they are the demographic foil of the rest of the Democratic electorate. Whether or not they know it yet, their future in the Democratic Party is about as bright as that of Jim Webb.

94 percent of libertarians and more than 8-in-10 libertarian leaners are non-Hispanic Whites. Like the libertarians, Bernie’s progressive supporters are a minority faction of the White electorate. As the Democratic electorate becomes more non-White due to immigration, their influence over the party will decline faster than the electoral weight of White America as a whole.

The future of the Democratic Party is Hillary Clinton’s “breaking down all the barriers” message, not Bernie’s old school class-based politics.

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  1. I was aware that the Democratic Party in some Southern states is largely a negro thing, but I was shocked to hear during the primary season (April 26) that the Maryland Democratic voters were 46% black and 43% white.

    We have more in common with Hungarians and Russians (among others) than we do with ~38% of our “fellow Americans.”

    • In another decade or so – with current immigration trends – all our votes will be completely meaningless.

      If Trump can not pull it off this election cycle for the Republicans, who the hell can?

      Four years of Hillary will change the demographics in many red states making it that much harder to win the next election.

      • You are correct. Virginia, North Carolina, Indiana and Arizona were reliable Republican states. No longer. California, Nevada, and Colorado used to go GOP but now are gone. The Democrats even see Georgia as winnable in the near future.

        Trump could be the final non-Democrat president.

          • I think that would hold true only if you’re returning to your ancestral home. As for Virginia, they have alot of problems with Negro immigrants from Africa etc in No Va not to mention all the other assorted crap.

      • Won’t be a United States in 10 or 20 years, they cannot hold this system together without converting to a dictatorship of some sorts. I do not believe Elected Government will even exist much longer.

  2. Donald Trump is on the verge of locking in a racial deficit within the Republican Party that GOP officials won’t overcome for at least a generation, as he systematically alienates Latinos, African-Americans and anyone worried about the powerful undercurrent of white anger on display at his rallies.

    This is the paper bag into which whites have been placed, and they haven’t been able to fight their way out of it for a long time. I am calling it a paper bag because it is really little more than a mirage. In a multiracial society, a race must have explicit identity politics in order for its interests to be represented. It doesn’t matter whether they are a minority or a majority. Whites have not had explicit identity politics, which is why their interests have not been represented. The elites want whites to think that they will only lose out if they assert their interests, but that is false. It only appears that way because these are the same elites who set up the anti-white rules of discourse that discourage explicitly pro-white advocacy through the threat of job loss, etc.

  3. Jack would be better informed but Chicago is as described and it takes IMO all the passive aggressive office girlie politics to not end up with the usual colored strong man mayor.

  4. Put yourself in those delicate white people’s shoes, how comfortable could it be being around colored nazis goose stepping all about, not very. If we do our part with a bit of finesse we could rile up them thugs.

  5. ah, no. All the the urban White cosmic Berniebots want is a bigger piece of the debtPie here and now. They are locked into self-extermination, and do not care about any long-term future

  6. Blacks wont show up in November. Hispanics will. Most Bernie Bros will.

    This won’t be enough for Trump, he has to actually change the map, and do that by getting a larger chunk of white voters and get more voters to the polls.

    The Conservative Treehouse has been talking up “The Monster Vote”, all those folks that don’t typically vote who will come out for Trump. The problem is that they have to register. Have they? Are they? What is being done to register new voters?

    Trump needs to stop energizing the other side and start energizing his own side. Turning the convention into a reality TV show is going to make voters feel like Trump is going to do everything and they are just supposed to watch. He needs to start asking for small donations from the multitude and get people to register.

      • Disaster?

        Trump has something in common with Rodney Dangerfield.

        Gets no respect.

        HISTORY! Trump Shatters Republican Primary Vote Record by 1.4 Million Votes

        Trump has 1,536 delegates and counting.

        The Republican Party started the year with 17 bona fide candidates for President. This was more candidates than any major party in history.

        Trump has more wins than any other Republican or Democrat candidate in this year’s race with 36. He also has more primary wins with 33 and leads all candidates in percent of overall wins and in percent of primary wins.

        Trump surpassed the number of delegates needed to win the Republican nomination for President a couple weeks ago.

        This may be more delegates than any other Republican candidate and a higher percentage of delegates than any Republican or Democrat candidate in the race.

        Trump received 13,406,108 votes to date in the elections.

        As a result Trump has more votes than any candidate in Republican history.

        The Republican Party also set a party record this year in pre-convention state election turnout with over 28 million votes to date which is 139% of the record high voter turnout in 2008. This increase in votes can be attributed to Donald Trump.

        Trump won a higher percentage of votes than any candidate ever when considering the number of contenders in the race. He also has the highest percent of delegates when considering the competition than any candidate ever

        Trump’s accomplishments will now go down in history.

        • It’s not a ‘disaster’ but will become one if he doesn’t learn to move people on the ground, turn out the disaffected voters, etc.

  7. Are the Democrats going to be able to recruit good white male (or even female) candidates when the opportunities are so limited? My state, New Jersey, has a black US senator (Booker) and a Hispanic US senator (Menendez). Blacks and Hispanics are each about 13% of the NJ population and whites are 72%. Theres an opening for Republicans in New Jersey. The 2 long-time white Dem congressmen who lost the primary to Booker in 2013 never had a chance because the Democratic primaries are dominated by the black votes in Newark, Camden, etc. Menendez was appointed an appointed senator when Corzine left the senate to become governor in 2006.

    I heard an interview of Sen. Sessions the other day. He said the reason Romney lost is that Romney did so poorly with people whose incomes were under $50,000/yr. Those are the people Trump is targeting and the rest of the Republican Party has nothing for those people. Paul Ryan with the “poverty” stuff will not appeal to them and GOP efforts to “reform” Social Security and Medicare will scare them.

  8. All someone has to do is paint Hillary as the black candidate that represents the Dindus, and she and her party are done. That whole stack of minorities will collapse like a pancake by painting her and her party black. And there’s nothing she can do about it. If she so much as denies her black cred from her Hubbie, her and her party will implode. That insignificant 13% of the population is critical to her and the left.

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