The Horserace – November 6, 2016

National Polls

LA Times – Trump +5.6
People’s Pundit Daily – Trump +1.1
UPI/Cvoter – Hillary +3
IBD/TIPP – Hillary +1.5 (2-way), Trump +1 (4-way)
ABC Tracking – Hillary +5
Gravis – Hillary +2
Morning Consult – Hillary +3
NBC/WSJ/Marist – Hillary +5 (2-way), Hillary +4 (4-way)

State Polls

Battlegrounds – ABC Tracking – Trump +3 (Florida, Georgia, North Carolina, New Hampshire, Arizona)

New York – Siena – Hillary +17 (4-way)
(Obama won New York by 28 points in 2012)

Ohio – CBS News – Trump +1 (4-way)

Florida – CBS News – Tie (4-way)
Florida – People’s Pundit Daily – Trump +3 (4-way)

New Mexico – Albuquerque Journal – Hillary +5 (4-way)

Nevada – Trafalgar – Trump +5 (4-way)

Iowa – Des Moines Register – Trump +7

Reading The Tea Leaves

American Nations

Trump +7 in Iowa.

What does that tell you? If history is our guide, it sounds to me like a Hillary collapse across the Midlands. George W. Bush won Iowa by less than 1 percent in 2004. You would have to go back to Reagan in 1984 to find a Republican winning Iowa by a similar margin.

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  1. I have to confess that I still have a feeling that this may go WRONG. The CHEATING in this election is AMAZING!!! While it is true that there has always been cheating, we didn’t have Soros, true name GYORGY SCHWARTZ, having control of the voting machines in many states, Utah among them.
    On Facebook a Democrat was bragging how he had voted repeatedly for Hillary and was showing others how to do it.
    ILLEGALS voting. Let me tell you that immigration is the DEATH KNELL of this nation.
    And our rights:

    NRA will fall. It’s inevitable. Just look at the
    demographics. The Washington Post, October 19, 2015

    by (((Adam Winkler))) professor at UCLA
    School of Law

    • Our side will be “cheating” as well, believe me.

      Politics is war by other means. All is fair in love and war.

      • No, our side is not cheating. It’s not the Trump supporters who are cheating. It’s the Democrats , the high-level Democrats and the low level Democrat grass roots [ with the approval of the top Republican leadership ] who are doing ALL the cheating and ALL the vote-stealing.

  2. It seems that the Jews gaslighted their own voters by pushing the “it’s already over” line.

    Blacks, Mexicans and single moms don’t need to trouble themselves on election day.

  3. Ricky Vaughn 2.0 ?@RapinBill
    FOURTH assassination attempt on Trump. 1) Guy who rushed stage, 2) Illegal who stole gun from cop 3)Guy w/ gun in Trump Tower 4)Reno


    You’ll also notice that this Facebook post was made just yesterday. Seems to me that Crites planned this thing out and wanted to be called a “Republican” by the media to protect Hillary Clinton.
    Unless you are a Bush hack, you aren’t likely to vote for Hillary Clinton in this election. If you hate Trump so much, you’ll either vote for Gary Johnson or Evan McMullin. So the media is already trying to set up the narrative that Austyn Crites is an anti-Trump Republican. Sorry assholes, your lies wouldn’t work this time. This is why everyone hates you!

    Bottom line is Austyn Crites is just another Hillary Clinton supporting thug who will try and do whatever it takes to drag granny over the finish line. Austyn Crites is about as much of a Republican as Hillary Clinton is. Sorry media. Try to think up a better lie.

  5. Clinton directed her maid to print out classified materials
    By Paul Sperry November 6, 2016

    As secretary of state, Hillary Clinton routinely asked her maid to print out sensitive government e-mails and documents — including ones containing classified information — from her house in Washington, DC, e-mails and FBI memos show. But the housekeeper lacked the security clearance to handle such material.

    In fact, Marina Santos was called on so frequently to receive e-mails that she may hold the secrets to E-mailgate — if only the FBI and Congress would subpoena her and the equipment she used.

    Clinton entrusted far more than the care of her DC residence, known as Whitehaven, to Santos. She expected the Filipino immigrant to handle state secrets, further opening the Democratic presidential nominee to criticism that she played fast and loose with national security.

  6. The LA Times is doubling down, and so are the old line network polls, in opposite directions!

    Somebody’s wrong! Either LA Times method – which is newer and more online-oriented, as I understand it – see something the others don’t, or the old phone based polls have it right. This is going to be a reputation-ruiner for one model or the other.

  7. Even if she wins she needs to be prosecuted. Many other people have had their careers destroyed and have been jailed for lesser offences regarding security.

    Jared Wyand ???????? Retweeted
    ALiLSassy&Deplorable ?@xmssweetnessx 2h2 hours ago
    ???????? ????Huma told FBI the maid had access to SCIF.. In FBI 302 Hillary told @FBI ONLY SHE had door combo to SCIF..?LIED TO FBI

    • Even if she wins she’ll be very ineffective because the cat’s out of the bag and half the country hates her guts. An Obama pardon will only add more fuel to the fire. Nixon stepped down with his pardon for a tiny fraction of what this bitch has hanging over her.

  8. It is interesting that there is not a peep from the TruCons/NeverTrump/Bushites about Obama’s urging illegals to vote. The president calling for and encouraging mass lawbreaking. But he didn’t call someone “fat.”

  9. Julian Assange interview, The Embassy of Ecuador, London, 2016.11.05

    John Pilger: What’s the significance of the FBI’s intervention in these last days of the U.S. election campaign, in the case against Hillary Clinton?

    Julian Assange: If you look at the history of the FBI, it has become effectively America’s political police. The FBI demonstrated this by taking down the former head of the CIA [General David Petraeus] over classified information given to his mistress. Almost no-one is untouchable.  The FBI is always trying to demonstrate that no-one can resist us.  But Hillary Clinton very conspicuously resisted the FBI’s investigation, so there’s anger within the FBI because it made the FBI look weak.  We’ve published about 33,000 of Clinton’s emails when she was Secretary of State.  They come from a batch of just over 60,000 emails, [of which] Clinton has kept about half – 30,000 — to herself, and we’ve published about half.

    Then there are the Podesta emails we’ve been publishing.  [John] Podesta is Hillary Clinton’s primary campaign manager, so there’s a thread that runs through all these emails; there are quite a lot of pay-for-play, as they call it, giving access in exchange for money to states, individuals and corporations. [These emails are] combined with the cover up of the Hillary Clinton emails when she was Secretary of State, [which] has led to an environment where the pressure on the FBI increases.

    ‘Russian government not the source of Clinton leaks’

    JP: The Clinton campaign has said that Russia is behind all of this, that Russia has manipulated the campaign and is the source for WikiLeaks and its emails.

    JA: The Clinton camp has been able to project that kind of neo-McCarthy hysteria: that Russia is responsible for everything.  Hilary Clinton stated multiple times, falsely, that seventeen U.S. intelligence agencies had assessed that Russia was the source of our publications. That is false; we can say that the Russian government is not the source.

    WikiLeaks has been publishing for ten years, and in those ten years, we have published ten million documents, several thousand individual publications, several thousand different sources, and we have never got it wrong.

    JP: The emails that give evidence of access for money and how Hillary Clinton herself benefited from this and how she is benefitting politically, are quite extraordinary. I’m thinking of  when the Qatari representative was given five minutes with Bill Clinton for a million dollar cheque.

    JA: And twelve million dollars from Morocco …

    JP: Twelve million from Morocco yeah.

    JA: For Hillary Clinton to attend [a party].

    JP: In terms of the foreign policy of the United States, that’s where the emails are most revealing, where they show the direct connection between Hillary Clinton and the foundation of jihadism, of ISIL, in the Middle East.  Can you talk about how the emails demonstrate the connection between those who are meant to be fighting the jihadists of ISIL, are actually those who have helped create it.

    JA: There’s an early 2014 email from Hillary Clinton, not so long after she left the State Department, to her campaign manager John Podesta that states ISIL is funded by the governments of Saudi Arabia and Qatar.  Now this is the most significant email in the whole collection, and perhaps because Saudi and Qatari money is spread all over the Clinton Foundation.  Even the U.S. government agrees that some Saudi figures have been supporting ISIL, or ISIS. But the dodge has always been that, well it’s just some rogue Princes, using their cut of the oil money to do whatever they like, but actually the government disapproves.

    But that email says that no, it is the governments of Saudi and Qatar that have been funding ISIS.

    JP: The Saudis, the Qataris, the Moroccans, the Bahrainis, particularly the Saudis and the Qataris, are giving all this money to the Clinton Foundation while Hilary Clinton is Secretary of State and the State Department is approving massive arms sales, particularly to Saudi Arabia.

    JA: Under Hillary Clinton, the world’s largest ever arms deal was made with Saudi Arabia, [worth] more than $80 billion.  In fact, during her tenure as Secretary of State, total arms exports from the United States in terms of the dollar value, doubled.

    JP: Of course the consequence of that is that the notorious terrorist group called ISIl or ISIS is created largely with money from the very people who are giving money to the Clinton Foundation.

    JA: Yes.

    JP:That’s extraordinary.

    JA: I actually feel quite sorry for Hillary Clinton as a person because I see someone who is eaten alive by their ambitions,  tormented literally to the point where they become sick; they faint as a result of [the reaction] to their ambitions. She represents a whole network of people and a network of relationships with particular states.  The question is how does Hilary Clinton fit in this broader network?  She’s a centralising cog. You’ve got a lot of different gears in operation from the big banks like Goldman Sachs and major elements of Wall Street, and Intelligence and people in the State Department and the Saudis.

    She’s the centraliser that inter-connects all these different cogs. She’s the smooth central representation of all that, and ‘all that’ is more or less what is in power now in the United States. It’s what we call the establishment or the DC consensus. One of the more significant Podesta emails that we released was about how the Obama cabinet was formed and how half the Obama cabinet was basically nominated by a representative from City Bank. This is quite amazing.

    JP: Didn’t Citybank supply a list …. ?

    JA: Yes.

    JP: … which turned out to be most of the Obama cabinet.

    JA: Yes.

    JP: So Wall Street decides the cabinet of the President of the United States?

    JA: If you were following the Obama campaign back then, closely, you could see it had become very close to banking interests.

    JA: So I think you can’t properly understand Hillary Clinton’s foreign policy without understanding Saudi Arabia.  The connections with Saudi Arabia are so intimate.

    JP: Why was she so demonstrably enthusiastic about the destruction of Libya? Can you talk a little about just what the emails have told us – told you – about what happened there? Because Libya is such a source for so much of the mayhem now in Syria: the ISIL, jihadism, and so on. And it was almost Hillary Clinton’s invasion. What do the emails tell us about that?

    JA: Libya, more than anyone else’s war, was Hillary Clinton’s war. Barak Obama initially opposed it. Who was the person championing it?  Hillary Clinton.  That’s documented throughout her emails. She had put her favoured agent, Sidney Blumenthal, on to that; there’s more than 1700 emails out of the thirty three thousand Hillary Clinton emails that we’ve published, just about Libya. It’s not that Libya has cheap oil. She perceived the removal of Gaddafi and the overthrow of the Libyan state — something that she would use in her run-up to the general election for President. 

    So in late 2011 there is an internal document called the Libya Tick Tock that was produced for Hillary Clinton, and it’s the chronological description of how she was the central figure in the destruction of the Libyan state, which resulted in around 40,000 deaths within Libya; jihadists moved in, ISIS moved in, leading to the European refugee and migrant crisis.

    Not only did you have people fleeing Libya, people fleeing Syria, the destabilisation of other African countries as a result of arms flows, but the Libyan state itself err was no longer able to control the movement of people through it. Libya faces along to the Mediterranean and had been effectively the cork in the bottle of Africa. So all problems, economic problems and civil war in Africa — previously people fleeing those problems didn’t end up in Europe because Libya policed the Mediterranean. That was said explicitly at the time, back in early 2011 by Gaddafi:  ‘What do these Europeans think they’re doing, trying to bomb and destroy the Libyan State? There’s going to be floods of migrants out of Africa and jihadists into Europe, and this is exactly what happened.

    JP: You get complaints from people saying, ‘What is WikiLeaks doing?  Are they trying to put Trump in the Whitehouse?’

    JA: My answer is that Trump would not be permitted to win. Why do I say that?  Because he’s had every establishment off side; Trump doesn’t have one establishment, maybe with the exception of the Evangelicals, if you can call them an establishment, but banks, intelligence [agencies], arms companies… big foreign money … are all united behind Hillary Clinton, and the media as well, media owners and even journalists themselves.

    JP: There is the accusation that WikiLeaks is in league with the Russians. Some people say, ‘Well, why doesn’t WikiLeaks investigate and publish emails on Russia?’

    JA: We have published about 800,000 documents of various kinds that relate to Russia. Most of those are critical; and a great many books have come out of our publications about Russia, most of which are critical. Our [Russia]documents have gone on to be used in quite a number of court cases: refugee cases of people fleeing some kind of claimed political persecution in Russia, which they use our documents to back up.

    JP: Do you yourself take a view of the U.S. election?  Do you have a preference for Clinton or Trump?

    JA: [Let’s talk about] Donald Trump. What does he represent in the American mind and in the European mind?  He represents American white trash, [which Hillary Clinton called] ‘deplorable and irredeemable’.  It means from an establishment or educated cosmopolitan, urbane perspective, these people are like the red necks, and you can never deal with them.  Because he so clearly — through his words and actions and the type of people that turn up at his rallies — represents people who are not the middle, not the upper middle educated class, there is a fear of seeming to be associated in any way with them, a social fear that lowers the class status of anyone who can be accused of somehow assisting Trump in any way, including any criticism of Hillary Clinton. If you look at how the middle class gains its economic and social power, that makes absolute sense.

    JP: I’d like to talk about Ecuador, the small country that has given you refuge and [political asylum] in this embassy in London.  Now Ecuador has cut off the internet from here where we’re doing this interview, in the Embassy, for the clearly obvious reason that they are concerned about appearing to intervene in the U.S. election campaign.  Can you talk about why they would take that action and your own views on Ecuador’s support for you?

    JA: Let’s let go back four years.  I made an asylum application to Ecuador in this embassy, because of the U.S. extradition case, and the result was that after a month, I was successful in my asylum application. The embassy since then has been surrounded by police: quite an expensive police operation which the British government admits to spending more than £12.6 million. They admitted that over a year ago.  Now there’s undercover police and there are robot surveillance cameras of various kinds — so that there has been quite a serious conflict right here in the heart of London between Ecuador, a country of sixteen million people, and the United Kingdom, and the Americans who have been helping on the side.  So that was a brave and principled thing for Ecuador to do. Now we have the U.S. election [campaign], the Ecuadorian election is in February next year, and you have the White House feeling the political heat as a result of the true information that we have been publishing. 

    WikiLeaks does not publish from the jurisdiction of Ecuador, from this embassy or in the territory of Ecuador; we publish from France, we publish from, from Germany, we publish from The Netherlands and from a number of other countries, so that the attempted squeeze on WikiLeaks is through my refugee status; and this is, this is really intolerable. [It means] that [they] are trying to get at a publishing organisation; [they] try and prevent it from publishing true information that is of intense interest to the American people and others about an election.

    JP: Tell us what would happen if you walked out of this embassy.

    JA: I would be immediately arrested by the British police and I would then be extradited either immediately to the United States or to Sweden. In Sweden I am not charged, I have already been previously cleared [by the Senior Stockholm Prosecutor Eva Finne]. We were not certain exactly what would happen there, but then we know that the Swedish government has refused to say that they will not extradite me to the United States we know they have extradited 100 per cent of people whom the U.S. has requested since at least 2000.  So over the last fifteen years, every single person the U.S. has tried to extradite from Sweden has been extradited, and they refuse to provide a guarantee [that won’t happen].

    JP: People often ask me how you cope with the isolation in here.

    JA: Look, one of the best attributes of human beings is that they’re adaptable; one of the worst attributes of human beings is they are adaptable.  They adapt and start to tolerate abuses, they adapt to being involved themselves in abuses, they adapt to adversity and they continue on. So in my situation, frankly, I’m a bit institutionalised — this [the embassy] is the world .. it’s visually the world [for me].

    JP: It’s the world without sunlight, for one thing, isn’t it?

    JA: It’s the world without sunlight, but I haven’t seen sunlight in so long, I don’t remember it.

    JP: Yes.

    JA: So , yes, you adapt.  The one real irritant is that my young children — they also adapt. They adapt to being without their father. That’s a hard, hard adaption which they didn’t ask for.

    JP: Do you worry about them?

    JA: Yes, I worry about them; I worry about their mother.

    JP: Some people would say, ‘Well, why don’t you end it and simply walk out the door and allow yourself to be extradited to Sweden?’

    JA: The U.N. [the United Nations Working Group on Arbitrary Detention] has looked into this whole situation. They spent eighteen months in formal, adversarial litigation. [So it’s] me and the U.N. verses Sweden and the U.K.  Who’s right?  The U.N. made a conclusion that I am being arbitrarily detained illegally, deprived of my freedom and that what has occurred has not occurred within the laws that the United Kingdom and Sweden, and that [those countries] must obey. It is an illegal abuse.  It is the United Nations formally asking, ‘What’s going on here?  What is your legal explanation for this? [Assange] says that you should recognise his asylum.’ [And here is]

    Sweden formally writing back to the United Nations to say, ‘No, we’re not going to [recognise the UN ruling], so leaving open their ability to extradite. 

    I just find it absolutely amazing that the narrative about this situation is not put out publically in the press, because it doesn’t suit the Western establishment narrative – that yes, the West has political prisoners, it’s a reality, it’s not just me, there’s a bunch of other people as well.  The West has political prisoners. Of course, no state accepts [that it should call] the people it is imprisoning or detaining for political reasons, political prisoners. They don’t call them political prisoners in China, they don’t call them political prisoners in Azerbaijan and they don’t call them political prisoners in the United States, U.K. or Sweden; it is absolutely intolerable to have that kind of self-perception.

    JA: Here we have a case, the Swedish case, where I have never been charged with a crime, where I have already been cleared [by the Stockholm prosecutor] and found to be innocent, where the woman herself said that the police made it up, where the United Nations formally said the whole thing is illegal, where the State of Ecuador also investigated and found that I should be given asylum.  Those are the facts, but what is the rhetoric?  

    JP: Yes, it’s different.

    JA: The rhetoric is pretending, constantly pretending that I have been charged with a crime, and never mentioning that I have been already previously cleared, never mentioning that the woman herself says that the police made it up. 

    [The rhetoric] is trying to avoid [the truth that ] the U.N. formally found that the whole thing is illegal, never even mentioning that Ecuador made a formal assessment through its formal processes and found that yes, I am subject to persecution by the United States.


  10. The mains stream media has done everything to say Trump has no chance, they want to depress his vote, don’t listen to this horseshit, go out and vote. He isn’t beat until he loses.

  11. If Hillary gets elected, and takes in tens of million of 3rd World immigrants, legally, illegally, refugees, or by amnesty they will destroy the Social Security system because they will contribute little, and take everything. If you are over 40 and have contributed to Social Security you should be very concerned.

    Of course this may be her unannounced intention, and payback to those on Wall Street who want to privatize Social Security.

    During Bill’s second term the Clinton’s made an attempt at privatization of Social Security, but, were stopped.

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