This is rapidly becoming the conventional wisdom.
In the Obama years, a huge chunk of disaffected Democrat and Independent voters, especially White working class voters in small towns and rural areas, slipped away from the Democrats and became MAGA voters. Those were the swing voters who became Trump’s base in 2016 and made it possible for him to win the Republican primary, crack the Blue Wall and sweep the Rust Belt.
In the 2018 and 2020 elections, Trump attracted more of those types of voters while repulsing White college educated voters in the suburbs, especially women, who were traditional Republican voters. Those voters swung over to the Democrats. Also in the 2020 election, Trump made unexpected gains with Hispanics. Republicans have consolidated and expanded on those gains under Joe Biden.
In 2022, it is becoming clear that another huge chunk of the Democratic base, especially working class Hispanic men with conservative and moderate cultural views, are being alienated and driven out of the Democratic Party by the coastal AWFLs who are taking over the party.
“Shifts in the demographics of the two parties’ supporters — taking place before our eyes — are arguably the biggest political story of our time. …
What the data show: Democrats are statistically tied with Republicans among Hispanics on the generic congressional ballot, according to a New York Times-Siena College poll out this week. Dems held a 47-point edge with Hispanics during the 2018 midterms.
An NBC News poll in April found Democrats held a 38-point lead among women with college degrees — up from 10 points from 2010. Democrats lost ground with nearly every other demographic group tested in the survey. …”
The AFWLs who are setting the agenda and defining the brand of the Democratic Party are fired up over abortion and gun control. Abortion is the top issue of 1% of men.