I agree with this.
I’ve made the same point myself.
In retrospect, the GOP won a bunch pivotal Senate races in the 2014 midterms. Believe me, it wasn’t obvious at the time, but electing people like Cory Gardner to the Senate in Colorado and Ben Sasse to the Senate in Nebraska changed the course of American history.
The GOP took control of the Senate which enabled Mitch McConnell to block Merrick Garland’s nomination to the Supreme Court after Antonin Scalia died. Trump was able to stack the Supreme Court with Neil Gorsuch, Amy Coney Barrett and Brett Kavanaugh. Without Justice Merrick Garland on the Supreme Court, Roe v. Wade was struck down and affirmative action is all but certain to fall next. The Voting Rights Act could also be struck down in this term too. This is just the beginning.
Ben Sasse was one of the worst cucks in the Senate. Mitch McConnell has been a thorn in our side for years. No one remembers Cory Gardner. The margin of victory in the Senate in those elections decisively changed the Supreme Court though. The same is true under Joe Biden with Manchin and Sinema. He doesn’t have the support in the Senate to push through his agenda. End of story.
Moral of the story: even a nobody or a cuck in the Senate can have an unexpected impact. It can have ramifications long after they are gone like ending a woman’s right to choose.
“Americans reputedly have short attention spans. But their decisions have long fuses. People vote for reasons that may be quite contingent, even temporary or incidental, but that seem compelling in the moment—with effects that detonate long afterward.
Republicans won a remarkable nine seats in the U.S. Senate in the elections of 2014. That sweep empowered Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell to block President Barack Obama’s 2016 nomination of Merrick Garland to the U.S. Supreme Court. McConnell held the seat open until a Republican president could fill it—setting us on the path to a conservative supermajority on the Court that this year reached a 6–3 decision to overturn Roe v. Wade.
What enabled the Republicans’ extraordinary showing in those midterms? Good evidence suggests that the GOP owed its sweep to an event almost forgotten in this decade that is now so defined by the COVID-19 pandemic: the panic in the fall of 2014 over the Ebola virus. …
But the political legacy of that terror lingers: The Republican voters’ enthusiasm that year lit the fuse that led to the demolition eight years later of a half-century-old abortion precedent.
The lesson for the 2022 cycle is that the issues that seemed most salient as voters went to the polls will probably be long-forgotten in a few years’ time—but their choice will have had a huge bearing on what becomes of the United States. Voters can’t be expected to apprehend the longer-term consequences of the votes they cast. But their votes have consequences. …”
I wasn’t feeling enthusiastic.
I didn’t vote in the 2014 midterms, the 2018 midterms or the 2020 election.
I voted in the 2016 election though for Trump. A few thousand swing voters in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan gave Trump his margin of victory in the Electoral College which shifted the balance of power in the Supreme Court which didn’t begin to return dividends until 2022. Trump couldn’t run for reelection in 2020 on ending abortion and affirmative action.
Back in 2020, I was angry with Trump over his failure to withdraw troops from Syria and Afghanistan and for a host of reasons which aren’t as salient now. I didn’t take seriously enough the possibility that the insane Russiagaters who are Joe Biden’s handlers would start World War III.
This is a pretty good take. In a few years, you probably won’t be angry or demoralized about the things you are angry about now. You can only change the system by playing a longer game like the pro-lifers in which you win multiple elections over the course of decades.
Note: I’m feeling practical in this election. It probably won’t take long for me to oscillate back to my usual cynicism. Stay tuned!