Poll Watch: New York Jews Swing Toward GOP

A bright spot for the GOP… In the state (NY) with the most Jewish voters, the GOP has historically strong midterm polling with them. Hochul’s polling 38 pts worse among them than in 2022. On the House ballot, Dems are doing 36 pts worse. Mamdani’s image is well underwater. https://t.co/QdTWPHjCDe

— (((Harry Enten))) (@ForecasterEnten) October 14, 2026

POLLING WARNING: "The polling that we now have shows that his support among Republicans has diminished… And they are also showing, you know that his approval rating is, what, 36%? That means he might get 36% of the vote out, but 64% disapprove. That’s really bad at this stage, when he’s front and center. And it may raise the question in the minds of some people whether he should be out there front and center the way he is given his standing." @brithume

— Special Report (@SpecialReport) October 14, 2026

BARIS: Go thank every stupid neocon who couldn’t win an election to save their lives for hijacking the coalition and then wrecking it in less than 2 years. Because that’s what they’ve done. If you’re waiting on a miracle here, unfortunately, you’ll be waiting in vain. https://t.co/GuiHnVvFX8

— Grace Chong, MBI (@gc22gc) October 15, 2026

BARIS: By Operation Midnight Hammer, there were real problems. The Iran war was the worst part. When the MOU fell apart, it was the final straw that broke MAGA’s will. It’s the moment they gave up. Fucking sad, isn’t it? https://t.co/2LUirAkVPu

— Grace Chong, MBI (@gc22gc) October 15, 2026

BARIS: These people are never gonna join a coalition with neocons ever again. It’s not going to happen. They blame them. They hate them. They will never forgive these people. They hate their guts. https://t.co/MJYCs9P4T5

— Grace Chong, MBI (@gc22gc) October 15, 2026

NEWS The Republican panic is on clearest display at the various political organizations in Washington charged with spending hundreds of millions of dollars on House races. GOP lawmakers from around the country, many in deep red seats, are approaching super PACs with polls showing them losing or on the brink of being down. Meanwhile, Democratic PACs are swimming in data showing opportunities in seats that were never on their radar. The map keeps expanding into deeper red territory. Democrats have seen evidence of margin-of-error races in Indiana’s 5th District, GOP Rep. Victoria Spartz’s district that President Donald Trump won by 17 points; New York’s open 21st District, which Trump won by 21 points; Nevada’s open 2nd District, which Trump won by 14; and Kentucky’s open 6th District, which Trump won by 15. Democrats have also seen evidence of tighter-than-usual races in North Carolina’s 3rd District, GOP Rep. Greg Murphy’s seat that Trump won by 14; North Carolina’s 9th District, NRCC Chair Richard Hudson’s seat, which Trump won by 16; and Nebraska’s 1st District, Rep. Mike Flood’s seat, which Trump won by 13 points. Both parties have polls with Rep. Shomari Figures (D-Ala.) in a tight race against Republican State Rep. Rhett Marques in an Alabama district Republicans redrew themselves. Sydney Gruters, the wife of RNC chair Joe Gruters, is also in a tight contest with former Sarasota, Fla., Mayor Kelly Kirschner, in Florida’s 16th District. Kirschner vastly outspent Gruters on TV this week. Republicans have started spending in South Carolina’s 1st District, where GOP candidate Jenny Costa Honeycutt is trying to hold outgoing Rep. Nancy Mace’s (R-S.C.) seat. Also in play is GOP Rep. Brad Finstad’s southern Minnesota district that Trump won by 12 points. Democrat Jake Johnson is giving Finstad a tough challenge.

— Jake Sherman (@JakeSherman) October 15, 2026

This is what it has come to, folks.

We’re now at the point where Harry Enten is doing parody segments on CNN ridiculing the GOP for trading away their coalition and pretty much the whole country in exchange for a marginal swing toward Republicans among Jewish liberal Zionists in New York.

Note: I saw a poll yesterday which had the OKLAHOMA GOVERNOR RACE within the margin of error.