The new plan from the Administration called “Opening up America Again” has a number of good elements in it, but also elements that are missing or concerning https://t.co/DslfRVuYYe. 1/x— Tom Inglesby (@T_Inglesby) April 16, 2020
It should be made clear that same day diagnostic testing capacity for all pts with COVID symptoms and rapid and strong contact tracing capacity in a given state are also gating criteria for reopening.4/x— Tom Inglesby (@T_Inglesby) April 16, 2020
Here are Fauci and Birx’s new “Opening Up America Again” guidelines.
A staggered reopening based on data that ensures 1.) there is no rebound of the virus and 2.) cases and deaths are trending downward is practical and sensible. Obviously, Bumfuck, KS is not on the same level of outbreak as NYC and there must be public health measures in place to keep it that way.
International and national flights must be HEAVILY SCREENED or this won’t work. The failure to regulate international travel from a known hot zone in January was the original fuck up that led to this awful situation. New York and New Jersey need to be quarantined and interstate travel SHOULD ALSO be HEAVILY SCREENED, but they aren’t willing to go there because it would be challenged as unconstitutional in federal court and would provoke an immediate exodus from those two states.
Bottom line … assuming there is NO REBOUND of the virus and it TRENDS DOWNWARD, this is a good enough plan, but if we go ahead with it and there is a SPIKE all bets are off.
Note: I remain skeptical that testing and contact tracing will be sufficient for this plan to work. The plan requires the government to become vastly more competent than it has shown itself to be so far in this crisis. Is it even possible to do contact tracing on the scale this requires?