I apologize for being so fascinated by these polls.
Do you know any sports fans in your life? In my youth, I majored in political science and got my degree because I was interested in this stuff. I’m genuinely curious to see what an R+13 electorate would look like in real life when something like D+4 is needed just to break even.
Sure, it is totally meaningless because the policies are sold to the donors and Republican politicians are so corrupt and inept, but it does reflect a repudiation of Democrats that hasn’t been seen in my lifetime. Even if vooting doesn’t matter, the sentiment that people who voot are feeling is real.
“With the midterms elections now less than a year away, Republicans have a double-digit lead in their bid to recapture control of Congress.
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone and online survey finds that, if the elections for Congress were held today, 51% of Likely U.S. Voters would vote for the Republican candidate, while 38% would vote for the Democrat. Just three percent (3%) would vote for some other candidate, but another eight percent (8%) are not sure.
The 13-point edge for Republicans in the latest poll is larger than Democrats enjoyed at any time during the 2018 midterm campaign, due both to greater GOP partisan intensity and a wide advantage among independents. While 89% of Republican voters say they would vote for their own party’s candidate, only 77% of Democrats would vote for the Democratic candidate. Among voters not affiliated with either major party, 48% would vote Republican and 26% would vote Democrats, with another 17% undecided. …”
I know it is Rasmussen.
USA Today/Suffolk found an R+8 electorate and ABC News/Washington Post found a R+10 electorate though. This isn’t outside the realm of possibility. As Henry Olsen pointed out the other day, the margin shift toward the GOP in the 2021 elections was 12.1 in Virginia and 13.3 in New Jersey.
Note: The Tea Party backlash of 2010 against Obama got up to R+3 and that was before education polarization took its toll in the last decade.