Francis Fukuyama: Russia Is Headed Toward Outright Defeat In Ukraine

Francis Fukuyama is famous for calling the end of history.

American Purpose:

“I’ll stick my neck out and make several prognostications:

Russia is heading for an outright defeat in Ukraine. Russian planning was incompetent, based on a flawed assumption that Ukrainians were favorable to Russia and that their military would collapse immediately following an invasion. Russian soldiers were evidently carrying dress uniforms for their victory parade in Kyiv rather than extra ammo and rations. Putin at this point has committed the bulk of his entire military to this operation—there are no vast reserves of forces he can call up to add to the battle. Russian troops are stuck outside various Ukrainian cities where they face huge supply problems and constant Ukrainian attacks.

The collapse of their position could be sudden and catastrophic, rather than happening slowly through a war of attrition. The army in the field will reach a point where it can neither be supplied nor withdrawn, and morale will vaporize. This is at least true in the north; the Russians are doing better in the south, but those positions would be hard to maintain if the north collapses. …”

It looks to me like the Ukrainian Army is getting caught in a pincer movement in Donbas. Kyiv is surrounded and about to come under siege. Russian forces are advancing from the south on Dnipro from two directions and moving west to cut off Odessa from the rest of the country. What is enviable about this Ukrainian military situation?

14 Comments

    • But John, don’t you want to be a smart, obedient, Good European? Aren’t you worried that Smart Whites will see you as a Chud? What’s wrong with transsexuals putting children on their lap and reading stories to them?? Ukraine must be culturally enriched! /sarcasm

      • “What is enviable about this Ukrainian military situation?”

        The restraint that Russian forces are using to minimize casualties to the absolute minimum possible.

      • In every war, from 1914, to 2022, the leader of the target nation only has one ball, is insane, or dying of some terminal illness. His army is incompetent, disorganised and on the verge of collapse, or defeat. Or both.

        Every war.

        “Z”

        End Reconstruction. End the War.

  1. Their war is basically over no need in prolonging the misery for both sides

    Our war have just started

  2. It could go either way, but Russia can win if it chooses, it appears they are correcting their mistakes.

    There will never be an End of History (unless super AI takes over).

  3. It’s time for Russia to tighten the screws on Ukrainian resistance. First of all, it’s time to shut off the power to Kiev and other pockets of Zelensky supporters. They also need to turn of Ukrainian’s telephones and Internet service. I understand that they do not want to cause more harm to their Ukrainian brothers and sisters than necessary, but it is beyond time to take away their comfort.

  4. HW, whats not being said in all of this is that there is likely alot of paramilitary support from ours and other countries clandestine services bolstering Ukraine’s military. The CIA has been there for 8 years openly and much longer before that. Mercenaries and Spec Ops is already there.

    Of course neither side would want to make that clear, because then Russia would be forced to escalate and declare war on us, which I guarantee they don’t want to do, and we wouldn’t want to take credit from Ukraine because this whole media psyop is being used to create a messiah figure out of their puppet Jew president there and bait us into open war with the old underdog gambit that always works on the Boomers.

    If it was Ukraine alone, they would have fallen already, and that should be apparent to anybody given the immense disparity in the relative military capabilities of the two countries.

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