“This is the end goal: a weird new ultra-conservative form of political correctness where you cannot wear a rainbow T-shirt and the evil of slavery is chillingly transformed to ‘involuntary relocation,'” says @chrislhayes on far-right extremism in America. pic.twitter.com/DhkhhMHHVk— All In with Chris Hayes (@allinwithchris) July 2, 2022
I’m a realist about this.
The Union is dissolving again.
It is not happening the way so many of us wanted.
“Pressed by Supreme Court decisions diminishing rights that liberals hold dear and expanding those cherished by conservatives, the United States appears to be drifting apart into separate nations, with diametrically opposed social, environmental and health policies.
Call these the Disunited States.
The most immediate breaking point is on abortion, as about half the country will soon limit or ban the procedure while the other half expands or reinforces access to reproductive rights. But the ideological fault lines extend far beyond that one topic, to climate change, gun control and L.G.B.T.Q. and voting rights.
On each of those issues, the country’s Northeast and West Coast are moving in the opposite direction from its midsection and Southeast — with a few exceptions, like the islands of liberalism in Illinois and Colorado, and New Hampshire’s streak of conservatism.
Even where public opinion is more mixed, like in Ohio, Wisconsin, Georgia, North Carolina and Texas, the Republican grip on state legislatures has ensured that policies in those states conform with those of the reddest states in the union, rather than strike a middle ground.
The tearing at the seams has been accelerated by the six-vote conservative majority in the Supreme Court, which has embraced a muscular states-rights federalism. In the past 10 days the court has erased the constitutional right to an abortion, narrowed the federal government’s ability to regulate climate-warming pollution and blocked liberal states and cities from barring most of their citizens from carrying concealed guns outside of their homes.
“They’ve produced this Balkanized house divided, and we’re only beginning to see how bad that will be,” said David Blight, a Yale historian who specializes in the era of American history that led to the Civil War. …”
The country is becoming much less racially polarized.
Black, Asian and “Latinx” voters are drifting away from the Democrats. These groups are starting to divide and sort more like White voters. “Latinx” voters are trending heavily Republican.
If the country breaks apart, it is not going to split along racial lines. We are increasingly polarized along the lines of ideology, values and education. The biggest rift by far is the cultural divide between Whites. All the passion and energy in American politics is centered around two groups of Whites who loathe each other. BIPOCs are supporting actors in the drama in what is essentially a fight between Whites.
Similarly, when the split finally comes, it is not going to cleave North and South along the lines of the Confederacy. There are echoes of the North vs. South divide, but that is because White evangelicals dominate the South. Missouri was the first state to ban abortion. Kentucky was another one of the first states to ban abortion. White working class evangelicals have more power in Missouri, Kentucky and Oklahoma than elsewhere. The Confederacy was unable to fully rally and integrate the Border States because slavery (tobacco was the crop there) wasn’t as essential to their economies.
The same cultural divide that separates urbanites and college towns from rural areas, small towns, small metros and exurbs runs through all regions of the country. It is just that some states are more dominated by large metros. It really comes down to libtards because all of American politics is becoming a referendum on these people. The Proud Boys, for example, is just a group of men who dislike libtards. MAGA doesn’t have any real ideology except for a burning desire to own the libs. We have seen how flexible it is. The Trump presidency was a middle finger to libtards. That’s it.
We shouldn’t be surprised.
When the Union was dissolved in the 1860s, it was due to the abolitionists who were the libtards of their time. A critical mass of Southerners came to believe after the John Brown raid on Harper’s Ferry that they couldn’t trust these people to hew to the Constitution. They couldn’t live in the same Union with people who wanted to spark a race war to kill them. The moral fanaticism of the abolitionists is what broke the Union. Slavery was just the occasion of the war. It was the issue on which the cultural divide was centered. Were it not for slavery, the morbid imagination of these people would have been fixated on some other issue. They swiftly moved on from abolition to other issues like civil rights and women’s suffrage.
Abortion acts the same way in our own times. America isn’t rifting apart over abortion. It is due to these deeper cultural differences. Abortion is merely the incident or occasion of disunion. It is part of a whole cluster of issues which overlap and divide traditionalists and modernists. The same people who are pro-life are also opposed to gay marriage and trans and want to restrict immigration. If the Supreme Court had ended affirmative action or gay marriage instead of abortion this term, it would have pleased and disappointed the same people. There are now dozens of fronts in the culture war.
The libtards are now saying in unison that the Supreme Court is a “rogue court” and illegitimate. Many of the most honest libtards like Elie Mystal, the justice correspondent for The Nation, denounce the Constitution as a pact between white supremacists. This is how abolitionists and Republicans responded to the Dred Scott decision. They vowed to disregard the authority of the Supreme Court because in the words of William Seward, Lincoln’s Secretary of State, there was a “higher law” than the Constitution.
We’re now about as far away from a secession crisis as the Dred Scott decision was to the War Between the States. James Buchanan was inaugurated as president a few days before the Dred Scott decision. The Union was dissolved over the outcome of the 1860 election. John Brown’s raid on Harper’s Ferry occurred about two and half years after the Dred Scott decision.
The road ahead is coming into sharper focus – in quick succession, the country spirals into a recession as we approach the 2022 midterms, Liz Cheney is destroyed in her primary after all the revelations of the 1/6 Committee, Ukraine’s spectacular collapse in the fall and winter undermines Joe Biden’s presidency, Twitter falls to “white supremacy,” Democrats lose control of Congress in the 2022 midterms, Dump announces his 2024 Revenge Tour, Democrats demand that Merrick Garland indict Dump over 1/6, the shock and awe at the Supreme Court continues with decision after decision going against the libtards with each body blow dialing up the hysteria about the death of “democracy” at the hands of “authoritarianism,” Joe Biden, who is struggling with advancing senility, announces he isn’t running for president after his poll numbers crater into the 20s. Finally, Dump likely runs and defeats Kamala Harris in 2024.
Progressives are sent into an epic meltdown after losing to Russia, losing Congress, losing the White House to Trump and multiple generation defining defeats at the Supreme Court. They blame the gerontocracy that now rules the Democratic Party who are thrown out and replaced with more AOCs. Are they capable of digesting “trauma” on this scale, regrouping and launching a comeback or do they explode in another nihilistic tantrum bigger than the George Floyd riots?