Question: Is there any group in America which feels more strongly about “protecting white European heritage” than white Trump voters?— A New Radical Centrism (@a_centrism) December 9, 2021
Answer: Yes. Hispanic Trump voters. pic.twitter.com/9iRh1XkMFw
The future of the Democratic Party https://t.co/6tXlXx4fEP— Hunter (@OccDis) December 11, 2021
I’m giving credit where credit is due.
When I saw this, I was going to use the same headline this morning, but National Review beat me to it. Ruy Teixeira is changing his mind about racial demographic shifts in real time.
“Democrats think that, because Ruy Teixeira has been telling them that Latino-driven demographic changes point to endless victory (known in some precincts of the right as “replacement theory”) for many years.
I don’t really blame Teixeira for changing his mind; when he wrote The Emerging Democratic Majority with John Judis in 2004 the Democratic Party was not yet a cult of lunatics dedicated to explaining that men can give birth, gigantic new federal spending programs reduce inflation, the comptroller of the currency should be someone who believes in “ending banking as we know it,” energy production should be re-outsourced to Saudi Arabia and Latinos should be referred to as “Latinx.” …”
Why is this so important?
This is hugely important for a number of reasons.
The reason that Democrats are so gung ho about open borders and amnesty is because they believe that changing the racial demographics of the country guarantees them a permanent majority like in California. Demonizing White people and flooding the country with non-Whites is a political strategy.
The problem is that White working class voters and Hispanic working class voters are too similar in what they care about: jobs, the economy, health care, etc. Both groups also hate political correctness and responded negatively to Black Lives Matter. Both groups are also socially conservative, economically moderate in their values. Both groups are also shifting Right.
I’ve written extensively about this last year.
Where did the MAGA voters who are Trump’s base come from? As recently as 2008 and 2012, these people were either Obama voters or were Independents. They were Democratic Leaning Working Class (DLWC) voters. Trump became president in 2016 because he won nearly a quarter of this group.
Look at it this way.
Before Trump came along and the choice was Obama or Mitt Romney, MAGA voters were floating around in the Center of the electorate. You can think of the 2016 election as a big chunk of the Democratic base – all these rural and small town White voters that they used to win and take for granted in states like Iowa and Ohio – breaking off and crashing into the Republican Party. This is why Upper Midwest states like Michigan and Wisconsin have suddenly become competitive for Republicans.
In the 2020 election, the process continued with Trump finding and flipping more of these White rural and small town voters in states like Florida, North Carolina and Ohio. He lost White Independents in the suburbs all over the country especially White college educated voters who thought he was a retard because of COVID. Finally, one of the big takeaways of the 2020 election is that Trump began flipping Hispanic working class voters, most famously the Tejanos along the Mexican border.
The process has accelerated dramatically in 2021 and is potentially catastrophic for Democrats:
“The Democrats are steadily losing ground with Hispanic voters. The seriousness of this problem tends to be underestimated in Democratic circles for a couple of reasons: (1) they don’t realize how big the shift is; and (2) they don’t realize how thoroughly it undermines the most influential Democratic theory of the case for building their coalition. …
It therefore follows that, if Hispanic voting trends continue to move steadily against the Democrats, the pro-Democratic effect of nonwhite population growth will be blunted, if not cancelled out entirely, and that very influential Democratic theory of the case falls apart. That could—or should—provoke quite a sea change in Democratic thinking.
Turning to the nature and size of recent Hispanic shifts against the Democrats—it’s not as bad as you think, it’s worse. Here are ten points drawn from available data about the views and voting behavior of this population. Read ‘em and weep. …
3. A recent 538 analysis of aggregated poll data shows that, while Biden has lost support among all racial groups in the last 9 months, the decline has been sharpest among Hispanics.
4. In Texas, perhaps the Democrats’ most prized target for their theory of the case, Biden’s ratings among Hispanics have been dreadful. A September Dallas Morning News poll had Biden’s approval rating among Texas Hispanics at an anemic 35 percent vs. 54 percent disapproval–19 points underwater. His approval rating on handling immigration at the border was even worse–29 points underwater. The latter rating is similar to Biden’s rating on the same issue among Texas Hispanics in the more recent Texas Tribune poll. …
6. In the 2020 election, Hispanics, after four years of Trump, gave him substantially more support than they did in 2016. According to Catalist, in 2020 Latinos had an amazingly large 16 point margin shift toward Trump. Among Latinos, Cubans did have the largest shifts toward Trump (26 points), but those of Mexican origin also had a 12 point shift and even Puerto Ricans moved toward Trump by 18 points.
10. It is hard to avoid the conclusion that Democrats have seriously erred by lumping Hispanics in with “people of color” and assuming they embraced the activism around racial issues that dominated so much of the political scene in 2020, particularly in the summer. This was a flawed assumption. The reality of the Hispanic population is that they are, broadly speaking, an overwhelmingly working class, economically progressive, socially moderate constituency that cares above all, about jobs, the economy and health care. …”
“Latinx” men have turned against their fellow BIPOCs in favor of “white supremacy.”
“However, by 2019, the last year available in the ANES, just 50% of nonwhites identified as Democrats. Minorities have been transitioning from Democratic party identification to being Independent. However, if the historic white Catholic pattern is a guide, this could be a prelude to growing Republican party identification — and thus election success — among minorities. …
Not only are the Republicans gaining ground among Latinos, but they are doing so in the face of everything the 2013 autopsy recommended. Increasingly, surveys are finding that Hispanics reject woke slogans like ‘defund the police’, ‘abolish ICE’ or ‘Latinx’. Many welcome Trump’s tough stance on the border and have a negative view of Biden’s performance on immigration. Indeed, many Hispanic Trump voters seem more than comfortable with national populist views, and differ little in this regard from white Trump voters, as figure 4 shows. …”
So, a lot of things are happening right now in the electorate which are foreshadowing the Emerging Democratic Minority:
- White women who lied to pollsters about voting for Trump in 2020 who are labeled Karens have shifted back to the GOP in a large way in order to protect “white supremacy”
- White evangelicals and small town and rural voters are voting more like blacks for Republicans. Those “Assad-like” margins makes the hill that Democrats have to climb with other voters much steeper
- Older blacks still vote for Democrats by astronomical margins but younger blacks aren’t voting as reliably for them or turning out in as large numbers
- “Latinx” men are shifting toward the Republicans in a significant way
- White voters have soured on Joe Biden in a big way. He is down to like 30% with them. He won like 43% in the 2020 election. There is still room to fall with this group who were 30% of Joe Biden’s voters in 2020
- White Independents continue to swing back and forth as usual
- The Senate and Electoral College are biased toward rural voters in a way that makes it all but impossible for Democrats to push their agenda due to the distribution of their voters who are inefficiently concentrated in large coastal metro areas
- Non-Whites are shifting from Democrats to Independents
The bottom line here though is that it becoming increasingly possible to see “Latinx” voters splitting 50/50 or even 60/40 for Republicans and that combined with their losses among White working class voters is sufficient to reduce the Democrats to a regional party of coastal libtards who speak their own woke language in the Acela Corridor and the West Coast who are locked out of power for a long time.
Note: Republicans don’t need policies or anything to win elections. Owning the libs and backlash politics is all that matters. The phrase “Let’s Go Brandon” works better than any governing agenda. Politics is about hating the other side now and this is how these people sound and come across.