WOW, Stephen Colbert? ?? Can't top that!!! ??? pic.twitter.com/s4rurR55If— Fadi Ladki, ?????? 3?w/?? (@frl305) April 7, 2022
I like the hand we are holding.
Here are five reasons why “neo-isolationists” should look on the bright side:
1. Over a month into the war in Ukraine, the latest polls show that 39% of Republican voters (Quinnipiac) want the United States to withdraw from NATO. In early February, 28% of Republican voters (Gallup) wanted to decrease our commitment to NATO and 22% wanted to withdraw entirely from NATO. Two months later, 43% of Republican voters (Pew) don’t believe the U.S. benefits much from being a member of NATO and 42% have an unfavorable view of NATO. Conservative Republicans are split 45/53 on NATO. Clearly, the idea that “everything changed” on February 24 is utter nonsense.
2. It is clear who in the Republican Party has become more hawkish on Russia and more pro-NATO and more willing to intervene in Ukraine. It is educated professionals and the Reaganite crowd. Those people made up their minds about Russia decades ago. Those Americans who “came of age during the Cold War” aren’t growing in number. They are rapidly shrinking as part of the Republican electorate.
3. America’s wars haven’t grown more popular over time. The wars in Iraq, Afghanistan, Syria and Libya all became less popular over time. Those wars are largely seen as mistakes now. Unlike the Global War on Terror (GWOT) crusade, America hasn’t been attacked by Russia. There was no catalyzing event like 9/11 that enraged Americans unless you are a diehard Russiagate shitlib who believes that Russia stole the 2016 election from Hillary Clinton. Unlike our other recent wars, this war in Ukraine is sustained only by the famous American attention span and is going to cost the American working class and middle class a fortune in gas prices and inflation. How long can outrage porn and altruism sustain our war effort?
4. Yes, it is true that the Republican leadership in the House and Senate has strongly supported Ukraine and is as hawkish as ever on Russia. It is also true that the Republican gerontocracy in the Senate is famously out of touch with their base across a wide range of issues. Perhaps there is a disconnect on foreign policy between a bunch of Republican senators in their 70s and 80s and their base nearly half of which wants to withdraw from NATO over a month into the war?
5. Finally, there is obviously a strong education polarization effect in attitudes toward NATO with post-grads being by far the most supportive of our foreign policy and high school graduates being the most lukewarm on Ukraine. Which sector of the GOP is growing and which is shrinking?
Just focus the mind on the impact that the war in Ukraine has already had on gas prices and inflation and relative importance of the economy compared to the war in Ukraine a month into the war. We’re also headed into a recession because of this. What are the long term consequences of this war?
“Neo-isolationism has potential leaders in the Republican Party, but the Ukraine crisis shows it doesn’t have nearly enough followers.
The reaction of the vast majority of the GOP to the Russian invasion has been to agitate for more support for Ukraine and criticize a Democratic president for being dilatory and weak — which isn’t much different than it would have been to a similar event any time over the past 30 years.
Now, obviously, much has changed in the party since then, most importantly the rise of Donald Trump and of his allies in the pundit class who are outspokenly opposed to, or skeptical of, the GOP’s traditional hawkishness.
These realists or restrainers, as they call themselves, tended to stoke doubts about the U.S. intelligence predicting a Russian move against Ukraine and to blame NATO for provoking a misunderstood and maligned Vladimir Putin into acting to defend his country from creeping Western expansion. …”
Maybe I am wrong.
Maybe “everything changed” on February 24.
Things appear to have changed for the worse though for Emmanuel Macron in France where the price of gas has gone up by something like 50% over the past year. Macron’s regime had already provoked an uprising by the Yellow Vests over high energy costs before this happened.
Anyway, we’re going to continue to pound away with our argument: NATO is an obsolete relic of the Cold War and expanding it has only succeeded in miring us in ethnic conflicts in Eastern Europe and harming the American working class. The communist threat no longer comes from Russia. The official state ideology of the Kremlin has done a 180 since the days of the Soviet Union. Putin’s Russia wants to be a “civilization state” or a kind of deglobalized island that fosters Russian identity and traditional values.
Why should conservatives join forces with progressives who want to raise the Pride flag over the Kremlin? Why should we support the belligerent foreign policy of Joe Biden and the Democrats who see us as “domestic enemies” of democracy? Why are we fighting Russia over Donbas anyway?
Ron Paul tried to shake up our foreign policy a decade ago. The demographics weren’t ripe back then. Generational turnover is poised to accelerate through the 2020s.
Note: BTW, we are the Jacksonians.