None of this is surprising.
I saw this coming about two years ago.
Once upon a time, the Solid South voted for FDR four times. The Deep South was alienated from the Democratic Party over social liberalism during the 1960s and 1970s and began to vote more Republican. It wasn’t until the 1990s though that the Deep South was reliably Republican.
Next up, Greater Appalachia went through the same transition in the 1990s and 2000s. Bill Clinton was able to carry states like Arkansas, Tennessee, Louisiana, Kentucky and Missouri in 1992 and 1996. Al Gore lost the 2000 election because he lost his home state of Tennessee. Joe Manchin hangs on by a thread in West Virginia. Since I started this blog, I have watched states like Arkansas, Kentucky and West Virginia become more Republican. Greater Appalachia became reliably Republican under Obama.
In the 2016 election, the same trend worked its way up out of Greater Appalachia into the Midlands and Yankeedom. White voters in rural areas and small towns in the Midwest began trending Republican. The so-called “Blue Wall” collapsed with Ohio and Iowa swinging massively to Trump who eked out a narrow victory by winning Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania. I remember being optimistic on the eve of the 2016 election because the Des Moines Register had Trump up 7 points in Iowa which I took as an indicator that he was about to overperform in the Midlands which had long been the key swing region. We now take for granted that Iowa and Ohio are Red States because of this shift in the Midlands.
In the 2020 election, we saw Trump make huge gains with Hispanics in South Texas and Miami. It later became evident that the trend had happened across the country, but especially along the border. Hispanic voters in rural areas and small towns in the Southwest were trending Republican.
Now, we have reached the point where El Norte is beginning to trend Republican and shift away from the Democrats for pretty much the same reasons that Democrats have lost other vast swathes of the country. It hasn’t been six years since the “Blue Wall” collapsed in the Midwest. As with Trump’s decisive victory in Iowa, Trump’s gains with Hispanics in South Texas shows that El Norte will be the next region to fall.
Everyone has their limit … the point where voters get tired of the ultra-woke, overeducated, sanctimonious, cosmopolitan PMC libtards who live in the big metros on the coasts. They will alienate and push out one huge swath of voters in the Democratic Party. A few years later, they will do it all over again by latching on to some bizarre new cause like genital mutilation. “Defund the Police” or dissolving the border. What are the Democrats even running on in the midterms? The 1/6 Committee?
UPDATE: The conventional wisdom in elite Republican circles about how to unlock the “Latinx” vote was wrong. The solution was to just wait for “Latinx” voters to be alienated by watching CNN and MSNBC.
Note: None of this is to say that the Great Replacement is a good thing. I don’t know why anyone would get that impression. I’m just saying … this was bound to happen in the long run. The sort of White people who ruined Portland, Seattle and San Francisco would eventually get so extreme that they would alienate Hispanics just like they lost Appalachia and the Midwest. They only lost Iowa a few years ago.