NEW – Kamala Harris: “We will win the election. There’s too much at stake and the American people know it."pic.twitter.com/lLPnTcEhWO— Disclose.tv (@disclosetv) September 7, 2023
If Donald Trump could sweep the OD comment section like in 2016, he could probably easily be elected president in 2024, but this would require convincing the most cynical, disaffected voters who are convinced the system is rigged to turnout to vote for him.
Donald Trump’s argument that the 2020 election was rigged has reinforced the views of Americans who are already disenchanted about politics, one factor in their inclination not to cast a vote next year ? that is, a vote they would probably cast for him.
An exclusive USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll of unlikely voters ? those who are eligible to vote but say they probably won’t ? give Trump a lopsided edge over President Joe Biden among Americans who are deeply skeptical of politics and government.
Registered voters who say they aren’t likely to go to the polls back Trump over Biden by nearly 20 percentage points, 32%-13%, with 27% supporting a third-party or other candidate. Citizens who are eligible to vote but haven’t registered also favor Trump by close to 2-1, 28%-15%; 27% prefer another candidate.
If they participated in the election, Trump’s advantage among them is so wide that they could shift the political landscape to his advantage. His standing among unlikely voters is much stronger than in surveys of registered or likely voters, which generally show a presidential race that is effectively tied. …
Imagine the shitshow.
Somehow, Trump manages to dodge 91 felonies (even more charges are coming from Jack Smith) and is elected president. He will almost certainly be convicted on some of these charges. Perhaps the Supreme Court is forced to intervene and rules in his favor or he appeals and is not in prison when the election takes place and he defeats Joe Biden. Trump immediately pardons himself. What will the reaction be to the return of Trump like Napoleon only now he is seen as a rapist and insurrectionist?
In another plausible scenario, Donald Trump manages to defeat Joe Biden in the 2024 election while he is serving time in prison. Is he inaugurated in prison? Do they let him out of prison to take the oath of office? Does Trump pardon himself from behind bars? Again, what would be the reaction?
Suppose the Michigan Secretary of State who has been making the rounds on CNN and MSNBC concludes that Trump is ineligible to run for president because he is disqualified under the Fourteenth Amendment. The case goes to the Supreme Court which rules in Trump’s favor, unlikely voters who want to blow up the system vote for Trump and he wins Michigan. Again, what is the reaction?
Do all these people who have carried on for years about January 6th, Our Democracy and the sanctity of the peaceful transfer of power stand aside and allow Trump to be inaugurated as president?
Things are currently so bad for Joe Biden that he is LOSING to Trump in the CNN poll. This is like the first or second time in history that Trump has been ahead of Hillary or Biden in this poll.
In an early gauge of a hypothetical Biden-Trump rematch, CNN’s poll finds, registered voters are currently split between Trump (47%) and Biden (46%), with the demographic contours that defined the 2020 race still prominent.
Trump has never really been competitive in the polls. In the 2016 election, there was only one poll which had him ahead in that cycle. In the 2020 election, he was behind in the polls for the entire race and often by double digits in swing states. Today, Trump is tied, slightly ahead or within a point of Joe Biden, which would almost certainly translate into a Biden defeat in the Electoral College.
This is not a feeling we talk about much. While political reporters obsess over the anger and resentments felt by blue-collar white men in Rust Belt diners, liberals’ emotions are seldom considered worthy of the same kind of exploration. …
Yet part of me looks at those polls and wants to respond not with calm and reason, but with a blood-curdling scream of rage. Or at least with the kind of frustration bordering on despair that usually prompts those questions in the first place. …
My informal canvas of liberal friends reveals that this feeling — something like incredulous despair verging on panic — is not unusual. We tamp it down and joke about it, but it never disappears. Tens of millions of Americans are fine with Trump’s brand of revanchist authoritarianism, and even yearn for it. …
I am currently undecided on voting for Trump.
I will definitely be voting in state and local races in Alabama. The Supreme Court has created a fiasco with our congressional map. If Trump wins in 2024, I am not going to miss Morning Joe!