My thoughts:
1. The Supreme Court decisions this year are playing out largely as I expected. The Voting Rights Act was gutted. Trump’s tariffs were struck down and his power was curtailed. He has won two victories here on Temporary Protected Status and “metering” asylum seekers at the border.
2. I’m still expecting the big L on birthright citizenship. I would be surprised if the court went the other way. I think these two decisions are sugar coating in advance a big defeat.
3. The ruling on Temporary Protected Status essentially gets rid of judicial review. MAGA is prematurely celebrating this as a big win. Trump is at 31% on the economy and around 35% in polls. MAGA is on the way out. The next Democratic administration will be able to grant sweeping Temporary Protected Status protections to the entire world and the courts won’t be able to do anything about it.
CNN:
“The Supreme Court’s conservative majority delivered President Donald Trump a pair of significant affirmations of his immigration policy Thursday, paving the way for the administration to effectively remove more than 1 million people from the US and keep many others from entering in the first place.
The decisions, both of which were written by conservative Justice Samuel Alito over scathing dissents from the court’s three liberals, will have a sweeping impact on asylum claims at the US border and on a program known as Temporary Protected Status, a form of humanitarian relief that allows beneficiaries to live and work in the country legally. …
The court sided with Trump on Temporary Protected Status by essentially ruling that courts have no business deciding the issue in the first place. …
The court sided with Trump on Temporary Protected Status by essentially ruling that courts have no business deciding the issue in the first place.
It enables federal agents stationed at the border to turn back asylum seekers before they ever step foot on US soil, frustrating their ability to be formally inspected by officials — the first step in a winding process that could eventually result in them being granted asylum. …”
If Trump had creating an enduring majority coalition that could build on these decisions, this would be worth celebrating. It is like eliminating the filibuster to pass the SAVE Act. You shouldn’t want to eliminate the filibuster when you are headed back into the minority in Congress.
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