Vox: The Moment Donald Trump Blew The Midterms

Republicans were always going to lose the 2026 midterms.

Last year, I thought Republicans were headed toward a political disaster. I thought Republicans would definitely lose the House, but I doubted they would lose the Senate. I anticipated the Supreme Court would gut the Voting Rights Act in the Louisiana v. Callais decision. I thought redistricting would end up a wash instead of multiple dummymanders. I thought MAGA would continue to fracture.

Crucially, I didn’t think Trump would be stupid enough to launch a regime change war with Iran for Israel in a midterm election year. I thought no one would die for Israel. I thought there wouldn’t be an American war with Iran. I thought Republicans had enough problems on their plate like farmers in Kansas being angry about the tariffs, the backlash against the ICE raids, the division over Midnight Hammer, etc. Republicans would have lost in a normal way in a typical midterm backlash election.

Democrats ending up with over 260 seats in the House and 56 seats in the Senate wasn’t possible until Trump was sold on Ted Cruz’s vision of doing regime change in Iran, Cuba and Venezuela. Republican senators began talking it up on FOX News last winter. The success of the Maduro raid in Venezuela was the point of no return when the atmosphere of hubris on the Right spiraled out of control.

Vox:

“Democrats just partied like it’s 1974. On Tuesday night, they pulled off the largest midterm victory since the post-Watergate wave. Democratic Senate candidates conquered longtime Republican strongholds like Kansas and Texas — and probably (in the view of the internet’s gamblers) Mississippi and Alaska. When the dust settles, and all ballots are tallied, Democrats are expected to boast a 13-percentage-point popular vote victory and more than 250 House seats.

Taken together, these results exceeded many Democrats’ wildest dreams — and Republicans’ greatest fears. Countless Americans are therefore asking: How the hell did that happen?

To make some headway on that question, I spoke with the Democratic data scientist David Shor. …

What explains these shifts in turnout and voting patterns?

If you look at Trump approval — both from 2016 to 2020 and then from 2024 until the end of 2025 — it was really quite stable. Obviously, it was highest at the beginning of his terms and went down after a month or two. But then for most of Trump’s first term, he was hovering around the mid-40s in our data and it really barely moved in response to events. And it was much the same for the first year of Trump’s second term. Which was worrisome: Trump had all of these scandals, but at the end of the day, the line didn’t move. A good day would be like, “Oh, Trump approval is down three-tenths of a percentage point — amazing!”

So, a lot of people became very nihilistic. They were like, “Oh, we really live in this world where nothing matters.”

But then, the Iran war happened. And there was a giant structural shift in public opinion. His approval rating on the cost of living plummeted. To put some numbers on this, the day before the Iran war, Donald Trump had a 49 percent approval rating on gas prices. Within a week, it was 33 percent. …”

The Greg Abbott regime fell in Texas.

Democrats replaced Republicans in Texas, Mississippi, Georgia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Ohio, Iowa, Kansas, Maine and Alaska. Republicans nearly lost in Louisiana, Tennessee and Florida.

13 Comments

  1. >>> Democrats … pulled off the largest midterm victory….

    Democrats didn’t do S…
    Trump fell on his face and took Republicans with him .

  2. New Poll: 72% of Jewish Voters Backed Democrats in Midterms; 76% Disapprove of Trump; Majorities Say Israeli Actions in Gaza and the West Bank (80%) and AIPAC’s Campaign Spending Against Israel Critics (66%) Increase Antisemitism

    76% support sanctions against violent West Bank settlers
    J STREET 11/05/26

    Is it possible American Jews are more anti-Israel than Evangelical Christians?

    Favorable views of Israeli people: 74% of white evangelical Protestants hold a favorable view of the Israeli people (down 10 points from 2024).
    It was 84% just 2 years ago!

  3. Good riddance party of demon Lincoln.So long.We must have a party for Whites that is not co-opted by Jews.To see the two sodomites(Graham,Scott)turns my stomach.Just pleased Graham is in Hell.Also Hannity is a pig of a man who lives only to serve Jews,he must be some special variant of demon-servant.Also many of you may think I was just insulting Scott by lumping him in with Graham but it is known in political circles that Scott is also a sodomite.And of course his fake wife just had to be White.He claims they did Bible study by phone for several years,which is so laughable and unbelievable.I would add that the new Negro GOP Gov of Florida also has a White wife.It would seem the evil Jews are conditioning Whites to accept this and not give it a second thought.Tear this system down to the ground.

  4. Yes yes yes. Americans committed sepiku and handed their children over to Moloch children sacrificing Demoncrats because Trump didn’t want Sand N@ggers to have the bomb. If you believe that you’ll believe anything.

    If you believe Trump greatly betrayed Americans by going to war with an Islamist regime that funds terror armies across the region, chants death to America, slaughters Americans, and is a great betrayal of American values and Americans first, you are not American.

    If you would rather Mad Mullahs and their human shaeedi bombs would have nuclear ones than go to war with them you just might be a third world loving commie traitor. But if you don’t support stopping Sand N@gger terrorist regimes having THE BOMB by using Jarod Kushner to run the military operations according to his daughter trade strategy, you may just have common sense.

  5. If he would have left it at Venezuela – there were some legitimate national security concerns with that regime – not many would have cared, even with the massive corruption involving his pal and big Sodomite supporter (((Paul Singer))). Stupid Party doesn’t even begin to describe them. They got what the fecking deserved, to borrow a phrase from The Joker. Onto the trash-heap of history – a well-earned resting place.

  6. The thing that is striking is how profoundly ignorant most people are. The trash economy was made worse by the antics in the Persian Gulf, but only marginally in most respects. They have no damned clue about money and how it works. Just wait until the D-jerseys start screwing us over on behalf of their masters (who happen to be the very same ones who pull the strings of the R-jerseys). You ain’t seen nothin’ yet.

  7. Fundamentally, the Republicans don’t care very much about losing. Except for some individuals for whom politics is their profession (like a prostitute’s) or they are amongst the few who actually believe in reform like MTG or Thomas Massie, this holds true. Most Republican congressmen always have one eye on the exit and spend their time lining up lucrative deals with lobbyists or defense and other Government contractors for their payday after politics.

    The Republican Party is the party of bidnessmen and they look at politics as just another bidness with the opportunity to get rich quickly. Business is amoral and this explains why the Republicans, with few noted exceptions always take the bag with its thirty pieces of silver, it’s just bidness. There is no reforming this amoral mindset.

    They have made their deal with the devil. That is why their constant betrayals don’t bother them in the least and their appeals to voters based upon patriotism or morality ring hollow. Their isn’t an ounce of sincerity in them, only a ton of bullshit and betrayal.

    The Democrats take the bag too, they certainly aren’t more honest than the Republicans as far as money goes. The Democrats have the advantage though of actually believing in something, even if what they believe in is all bad. The Democrats’ Coalition of the Fringes (H/T Steve Sailer) is fundamentally just an anti-White coalition funded, directed and supported lavishly by The Usual Suspects. Without The Usual Suspects’ support the Left would wither and die.

    This is their core; hatred of Whites that keeps this fractious coalition of lunatics, grifters, The Usual Suspects, race hustlers and wogs together. The Democrats’ rule while campaigning is No Enemies on the Left which along with their protecting/rewarding their own no matter what crimes they commit is their key to victory. They don’t sell out their own no matter what, exactly the opposite of the Republicans’ who can’t wait to sell out their own for their thirty pieces of silver.

    The only saving grace is that the Left can’t govern or run anything with their colored people in charge. Everything will fall apart when the Democrats rule. Prepare accordingly.

  8. You will never understand, because you get your information from internet echo chambers and from Jewish web sites, instead of from the real world.

    Jews have a long history of nation wrecking. Our current nation they have wrecked definitively as of 2026. The Chabad Lubavitch Jew President Trump wrecked not only the Republican Party but the whole country.

    This has been a long time coming. It has been over 120 years since the Jews took over the medical industry and convinced Americans to circumcise their children.

    That was when the nation turned from Christianity to a bastardized form of Judaism. And they still circumcise the children. The rot is universal and has been since the 1890,’s.

    As North America continues its transformation into an Islamic hellhole, the only important thing is that we can chisel out some living space for the remaining white minority.

    The coming World War will see most of us either killed or sent to the Gulag system, and most of our younger generation are trending toward Islam, so it will be difficult.

    Whatever land we can capture, through secession or war, must be 100% white and Christian. The darker races, and the practice of circumcision must be outlawed.

    As to what is coming in 2027, we will see our Chabad President unite with the Democrat Party that has always been a part of.

    There will be the largest amnesty in history. Immigration will be increased, DEI will be codified on the federal level for all institutions including Churches, the Electoral College will be abolished, and that is just the start.

    A lot of dummies are talking about 2028. Forget about it. 2026 was the end.

  9. Both Trump’s terms were wasted. He went through a lot of drama and rigmarole to get in both times, only to under deliver once there.
    He didn’t pull troops out of Afghanistan in his first term. Biden did that. He then invades several countries in his second.
    You can’t do that in 2026 and remain popular. From what I heard, he deported less people than Obama, though he did make progress with the wall. And he talks like an idiot. His vocal style resembles that of a teenager. It’s embarrassing.
    His second term had to happen. In two years, he’ll now just go away….if he’s still alive.
    But the reality is, nobody can save America or the West now.
    As the century marches on, white country after white country will brown out due to a number of factors that can’t be reversed.
    The good news is, the left will finally reap what they sowed.

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