NEVADA EARLY VOTING COMPARISON— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) November 6, 2022
Democrats: 38.3% (D+198 votes)
Democrats: 40.4% (D+45,461)
? Net Swing: +45,263 towards the GOP from 2020. That’s +11,667 votes MORE than Biden’s NV 2020 margin
Data from @WinWithJMC
FINAL POLL By @insidepolling1— InteractivePolls (@IAPolls2022) November 5, 2022
(R) Adam Laxalt: 50% (+6)
(D) Catherine Cortez Masto: 44%
(R) Joe Lombardo: 49% (+5)
(D) Steve Sisolak: 44%
500 Likely Voters, November 4https://t.co/wU4Ax4Mncl pic.twitter.com/EPXTtGRrw4
NEWS: Actual updated #s, after rural updates, show NV is essentially tied!— Jon Ralston (@RalstonReports) November 5, 2022
Dems w/tiny lead, under 1K, it seems. Will know for sure w/final SOS update.
As I thought, rurals have erased Clark firewall, so it’s all on Washoe now to tell us who will win…
Man, do #WeMatter pic.twitter.com/Nms5LmdxXc
NEVADA EV, THEN AND NOW— John Couvillon (@WinWithJMC) November 6, 2022
(Fixed the 2nd number)
11/4/2022: 628,938 (38.3-38.27% D/R), +198 D
10/30/2020: 955,922 (40.4-35.7% D/R), +45461 D
v. good chance all four Nevada and Iowa House members are Republican after next Tuesday.— Jeff B. is *BOX OFFICE POISON* (@EsotericCD) November 6, 2022
?????— Jeff B. is *BOX OFFICE POISON* (@EsotericCD) November 5, 2022
“The GOP rural lead appears to be (waiting for official SOS update) greater than the Clark firewall, and with Washoe so close, the state essentially is tied. Tied!
This I have never seen.” – @RalstonReports https://t.co/t9pIhBGJ04
Blog update as I wait for new Clark mail to post:— Jon Ralston (@RalstonReports) November 6, 2022
Clark turnout significantly down, and GOP has 5 point turnout advantage in big Dem county.
Rural margins are huge, and they are turning out above their share of reg.
Dems need help from the postman.https://t.co/7TRQUrtH05 pic.twitter.com/1XsGraDVXc
How are the midterms going?
Nevada is going the way of Virginia with sky high rural turnout and margins and Democrats underperforming in Clark County.