“The idea of civil war/race war with heavily-armed citizen-patriots as your warriors is hardly under the surface anymore.” The AR-15 is a white nationalist symbol. Many wish it to be a white nationalist tool. https://t.co/jyx8W0KSnd— Francis Wilkinson (@fdwilkinson) June 1, 2022
For the last several months, I’ve worked with colleagues to shape a poll that would help us see the extent to which extremist narratives have been adopted by the broader public. The results were more worrying than I expected. You can read my report here: https://t.co/YSL3ZzIuEf— Cassie Miller (@cassiepmiller) June 1, 2022
On the right, we found substantial support for the great replacement. Nearly 7/10 Reps agree that liberal politicians are trying to gain political power by “replacing more conservative white voters.” 58% of Reps said that demographic changes represent a threat to white Americans. pic.twitter.com/RbU1t41N0P— Cassie Miller (@cassiepmiller) June 1, 2022
The anti-trans rhetoric from the right is clearly having an impact. When we asked ppl if they believed trans people are a threat to children, 30% overall agreed, including 39% of Rs. 63% of Rs agree that trans people are trying to “indoctrinate children into their lifestyle." pic.twitter.com/HacAQeTfbc— Cassie Miller (@cassiepmiller) June 1, 2022
The percentage of people who believe feminism has “done more harm than good” was devastating. 62% of Rep men under 50 agreed, but so did 42% of their Democratic counterparts. pic.twitter.com/ALK16y0Qmd— Cassie Miller (@cassiepmiller) June 1, 2022
There seems to be a pervasive sense that the country is in a crisis: 44% of people think we’re headed toward a civil war in the near future, including more than half of Republicans.— Cassie Miller (@cassiepmiller) June 1, 2022
And that means people could be more willing to take extreme action: 41% of Reps and 34% of Dems agree that “some violence may be necessary to protect the country from radical extremists.”— Cassie Miller (@cassiepmiller) June 1, 2022
When it comes to actual violent action, we found that 24% of people approve of threatening a politician who is harming the country, and 20% approve of assassinating a politician that is harming the country. pic.twitter.com/XEFietqlhN— Cassie Miller (@cassiepmiller) June 1, 2022
Most people who say they approve of violence will never act on it, but it is a sign that the sanctions against this kind of action are eroding. That can’t be disentangled from the fact that more elected officials are doubling down on violent rhetoric and the great replacement. pic.twitter.com/bd3EGTVWUd— Cassie Miller (@cassiepmiller) June 1, 2022
The spread of the great replacement narrative is a pressing threat, but we should view it as part of a broader, deeply reactionary and authoritarian movement on the right that targets Black people, women, LGBTQ people, religious minorities, and others.— Cassie Miller (@cassiepmiller) June 1, 2022
This is a hard place to walk back from, but there are more of us than there are of them.— Cassie Miller (@cassiepmiller) June 1, 2022
I’ve been documenting this trend across multiple polls for about a year and a half now. White Populism was the future of the GOP. In hindsight, the George Floyd riots and Trump’s defeat in the 2020 election were a major turning point. We didn’t get what we wanted out of the Trump administration. Things kind of froze in place under Trump. It was a deeply frustrating speed bump. Public opinion has changed rapidly though under Joe Biden.
“In late April, the Southern Poverty Law Center and Tulchin Research conducted a poll of 1,500 Americans to examine the extent to which the extremist beliefs and narratives that mobilize the hard right have been absorbed by the wider American public.
We found that the ideas underpinning the white nationalist “great replacement” narrative recently cited by an alleged white supremacist terrorist in Buffalo, New York, have become thoroughly mainstream on the political right. Nearly 7 in 10 Republicans surveyed agree to at least some extent that demographic changes in the United States are deliberately driven by liberal and progressive politicians attempting to gain political power by “replacing more conservative white voters.” Across the political spectrum, we found substantial support for threatening or acting violently against perceived political opponents.
We also uncovered a widespread feeling — especially among right-leaning Americans — that transgender people and “gender ideology” pose a threat to children and society at large. These anti-LGBTQ, misogynistic and racist narratives have been promoted by many Republican politicians and other powerful right-wing figures, helping the ideas infiltrate the mainstream and contributing to an increasingly volatile and dangerous political environment. …”
Read the whole thing.
These are incredible numbers.
“While an overwhelming majority of Americans believe that women in the workplace strengthen our economy (82%) and say they would be comfortable with a woman as president (75%), our survey also found that a majority of men under 50 on the right, and a near majority of their Democratic counterparts, say feminism has “done more harm than good.” Republicans — and, again, younger men especially — are also likely to view transgender people in a negative or threatening light. Taken together, these results suggest that a sizable proportion of men across the political spectrum, as well as large numbers of right-leaning women, perceive the progress made toward transgender rights and gender equality as potential threats.
While Republican men are most likely to see feminism as a net negative for society, those feelings are highest among younger Republican men — 62% of whom say it has done more harm than good. But 42% of younger Democratic men agree, compared to less than a quarter of young Democratic women. Across the political spectrum, men under 50 are in even greater agreement that “men should be respected and valued more in our society” — a belief held by 65% of younger Republican men and 60% of younger men who are Democrats. …”
In light of this, why would you pick up a gun and shoot random people to make a point about the Great Replacement? Wouldn’t it make more sense to just calmly persuade the millions of White people who are coming around? It is not just the Great Replacement that is going mainstream, but other issues like rising opposition to feminism. Everything else that was once associated with the “Alt-Right” – isolationism, protectionism, immigration restriction, memes, a saucy, iconoclastic attitude and relishing smashing the precious politically correct norms – went mainstream four or five years ago.
This is the best part.
“Most of us don’t know the original story,” Mr. Ward of the Southern Poverty Law Center said. “What we know is the narrative, and the narrative of the great replacement theory has been credentialized by elected officials and personalities to such an extent that the origins of the story no longer need to be told. People are beginning to just understand it as if they might understand conventional wisdom. And that’s what is frightening.” …”
In my case, I can trace my own awakening back to reading Pat Buchanan’s book The Death of The West in 2001. The subject of the book was the Great Replacement although the term only emerged years later. My exposure to the concept of demographic replacement and pondering what it meant for the future of my own descendants and people was the gateway to everything else.
“The poll really underscores the fact that this white nationalist replacement narrative is thoroughly mainstream on the political right,” said Susan Corke, director of the Southern Poverty Law Center’s Intelligence Project. “It’s in the water.”
Almost half of self-identified Republicans – 47% – responded that Census projections estimating “white people will become a minority” in roughly 25 years are either “somewhat negative” or “very negative” for the country. Only 28% or Republicans polled said the changes were “somewhat positive” or “very positive.”
And 67% of Republicans polled “believe the country’s demographic changes are being orchestrated by ‘liberal leaders actively trying to leverage political power by replacing more conservative white voters.’”
Censorship didn’t work.
Virtue signaling didn’t work.
Public shaming and preening didn’t work.
Antifa tactics like doxxing, deplatforming, blacklisting and violence didn’t work. It harmed individuals and content creators like MILO and Richard Spencer, but at the cost of discrediting and delegitimizing Antifa and “journalists” on the Right and facilitating the spread of narratives like the Great Replacement. Edgy humor and calm persuasion … that worked!